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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.7
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Dartmouth College1.71+1.12vs Predicted
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2Boston College1.56+0.63vs Predicted
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3Bowdoin College0.05+0.26vs Predicted
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4Tufts University1.08-0.96vs Predicted
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5Harvard University-0.84+0.23vs Predicted
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6Massachusetts Institute of Technology-0.18-1.28vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.12Dartmouth College1.7138.2%1st Place
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2.63Boston College1.5624.1%1st Place
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3.26Bowdoin College0.0515.2%1st Place
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3.04Tufts University1.0817.2%1st Place
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5.23Harvard University-0.841.3%1st Place
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4.72Massachusetts Institute of Technology-0.184.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| bella casaretto | 38.2% | 29.3% | 18.2% | 10.8% | 3.0% | 0.5% |
| Nick Budington | 24.1% | 25.2% | 23.7% | 18.8% | 6.8% | 1.4% |
| Benjamin Stevens | 15.2% | 16.7% | 21.6% | 24.6% | 17.1% | 4.9% |
| Oliver Keeves | 17.2% | 20.4% | 23.5% | 22.4% | 13.7% | 2.9% |
| Christina Chen | 1.3% | 3.4% | 5.1% | 9.6% | 22.9% | 57.7% |
| Lucas Escandon | 4.0% | 5.1% | 7.8% | 14.0% | 36.5% | 32.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.