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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.4
Avg Position Diff
4
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.76+0.83vs Predicted
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2U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.72-0.11vs Predicted
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3SUNY Stony Brook-0.13-0.35vs Predicted
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4SUNY Stony Brook-1.50-0.37vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.83U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.760.4%1st Place
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1.89U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.720.4%1st Place
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2.65SUNY Stony Brook-0.130.2%1st Place
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3.63SUNY Stony Brook-1.500.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Patrick Modin | 42.8% | 35.1% | 18.6% | 3.5% |
| William Hussey | 38.6% | 36.5% | 21.9% | 3.0% |
| Brendan Strein | 15.4% | 21.4% | 45.7% | 17.5% |
| Isabel Steinmetz | 3.2% | 7.0% | 13.8% | 76.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.