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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.7
Avg Position Diff
4
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.76+0.85vs Predicted
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2SUNY Stony Brook-0.13+0.61vs Predicted
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3U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.72-1.08vs Predicted
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4SUNY Stony Brook-1.50-0.38vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.85U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.760.4%1st Place
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2.61SUNY Stony Brook-0.130.2%1st Place
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1.92U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.720.4%1st Place
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3.62SUNY Stony Brook-1.500.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Patrick Modin | 41.8% | 36.6% | 16.8% | 4.8% |
| Brendan Strein | 16.4% | 21.2% | 47.0% | 15.4% |
| William Hussey | 38.2% | 35.9% | 22.0% | 3.9% |
| Isabel Steinmetz | 3.6% | 6.3% | 14.2% | 75.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.