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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.4
Avg Position Diff
5
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.76+0.88vs Predicted
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2U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.72-0.10vs Predicted
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3SUNY Stony Brook-0.13-0.36vs Predicted
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4SUNY Stony Brook-1.50-0.26vs Predicted
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5Stevens Institute of Technology-3.50-0.16vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.88U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.760.4%1st Place
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1.9U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.720.4%1st Place
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2.64SUNY Stony Brook-0.130.2%1st Place
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3.74SUNY Stony Brook-1.500.0%1st Place
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4.84Stevens Institute of Technology-3.500.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Patrick Modin | 41.0% | 34.7% | 19.9% | 4.3% | 0.1% |
| William Hussey | 39.0% | 35.6% | 21.7% | 3.4% | 0.3% |
| Brendan Strein | 16.1% | 23.4% | 41.8% | 17.8% | 0.9% |
| Isabel Steinmetz | 3.4% | 5.9% | 15.0% | 64.7% | 11.0% |
| Gianmarco Costa | 0.5% | 0.4% | 1.6% | 9.8% | 87.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.