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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.6
Avg Position Diff
4
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.76+0.91vs Predicted
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2U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.72+0.01vs Predicted
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3SUNY Stony Brook-0.85+0.37vs Predicted
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4SUNY Stony Brook-0.13-1.28vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.91U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.760.4%1st Place
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2.01U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.720.4%1st Place
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3.37SUNY Stony Brook-0.850.1%1st Place
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2.72SUNY Stony Brook-0.130.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Patrick Modin | 41.3% | 32.6% | 20.2% | 5.9% |
| William Hussey | 35.6% | 35.4% | 21.3% | 7.7% |
| Gerrit Bittmann | 8.6% | 8.8% | 20.1% | 62.5% |
| Brendan Strein | 14.5% | 23.2% | 38.4% | 23.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.