← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.6
Avg Position Diff
4
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.72+0.88vs Predicted
-
2U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.76-0.10vs Predicted
-
3SUNY Stony Brook-0.85+0.31vs Predicted
-
4SUNY Stony Brook-0.42-1.09vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
1.88U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.720.4%1st Place
-
1.9U. S. Merchant Marine Academy0.760.4%1st Place
-
3.31SUNY Stony Brook-0.850.1%1st Place
-
2.91SUNY Stony Brook-0.420.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| William Hussey | 40.8% | 36.0% | 17.8% | 5.4% |
| Patrick Modin | 39.3% | 37.1% | 17.7% | 5.9% |
| Gerrit Bittmann | 8.6% | 9.3% | 24.9% | 57.2% |
| Jessica Schaefer | 11.3% | 17.6% | 39.6% | 31.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.