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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.5
Avg Position Diff
5
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Northeastern University1.09+0.96vs Predicted
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2Olin College of Engineering0.87+0.11vs Predicted
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3Maine Maritime Academy0.06-0.03vs Predicted
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4Massachusetts Maritime Academy-1.29+0.29vs Predicted
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5Williams College-0.60-1.33vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.96Northeastern University1.090.4%1st Place
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2.11Olin College of Engineering0.870.3%1st Place
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2.97Maine Maritime Academy0.060.1%1st Place
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4.29Massachusetts Maritime Academy-1.290.0%1st Place
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3.67Williams College-0.600.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Peter Taboada | 42.2% | 30.9% | 17.4% | 8.0% | 1.5% |
| Peter Schnell | 33.7% | 33.4% | 22.2% | 9.4% | 1.3% |
| Nathan Hyde | 13.8% | 19.8% | 31.6% | 24.8% | 10.0% |
| Norman Walker | 3.3% | 4.6% | 11.0% | 22.3% | 58.8% |
| Felix Nusbaum | 7.0% | 11.3% | 17.8% | 35.5% | 28.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.