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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.4
Avg Position Diff
5
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Northeastern University1.09+0.96vs Predicted
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2Olin College of Engineering0.87+0.12vs Predicted
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3Maine Maritime Academy0.06-0.01vs Predicted
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4Williams College-0.60-0.34vs Predicted
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5Massachusetts Maritime Academy-1.29-0.73vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.96Northeastern University1.090.4%1st Place
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2.12Olin College of Engineering0.870.3%1st Place
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2.99Maine Maritime Academy0.060.1%1st Place
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3.66Williams College-0.600.1%1st Place
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4.27Massachusetts Maritime Academy-1.290.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Peter Taboada | 42.3% | 30.2% | 17.8% | 8.3% | 1.4% |
| Peter Schnell | 34.8% | 31.2% | 22.8% | 10.0% | 1.2% |
| Nathan Hyde | 14.2% | 19.5% | 28.9% | 27.6% | 9.8% |
| Felix Nusbaum | 5.4% | 12.4% | 21.2% | 33.2% | 27.8% |
| Norman Walker | 3.3% | 6.7% | 9.3% | 20.9% | 59.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.