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📊 Prediction Accuracy
62.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
8
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Dartmouth College1.17+1.37vs Predicted
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2Boston University0.25+2.04vs Predicted
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3University of New Hampshire-0.61+2.13vs Predicted
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4Salve Regina University0.46-1.50vs Predicted
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5University of New Hampshire-1.54+1.61vs Predicted
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6University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.52-1.02vs Predicted
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7Northeastern University0.01-2.83vs Predicted
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8Bentley University-1.28-1.81vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.37Dartmouth College1.1732.6%1st Place
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4.04Boston University0.2510.4%1st Place
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5.13University of New Hampshire-0.615.5%1st Place
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2.5Salve Regina University0.4631.2%1st Place
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6.61University of New Hampshire-1.541.6%1st Place
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4.98University of Massachusetts at Amherst-0.526.7%1st Place
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4.17Northeastern University0.018.9%1st Place
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6.19Bentley University-1.283.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Charlotte West | 32.6% | 27.8% | 19.6% | 12.7% | 4.9% | 1.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Richard Kalich | 10.4% | 12.7% | 17.4% | 17.8% | 17.8% | 13.6% | 7.6% | 2.7% |
| James Frady | 5.5% | 6.6% | 9.4% | 13.6% | 16.1% | 20.5% | 18.8% | 9.6% |
| Emil Tullberg | 31.2% | 26.4% | 19.5% | 11.6% | 7.5% | 3.1% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Kathleen Hanson | 1.6% | 2.5% | 4.2% | 5.9% | 8.5% | 11.6% | 20.1% | 45.8% |
| Marshall Rodes | 6.7% | 7.5% | 9.6% | 13.1% | 17.9% | 19.4% | 17.4% | 8.5% |
| Isabella Cho | 8.9% | 12.6% | 15.7% | 19.4% | 16.9% | 14.9% | 8.7% | 3.0% |
| Brett Tardie | 3.0% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 6.1% | 10.4% | 15.0% | 26.4% | 30.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.