Race 2B

women-president

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

46.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15
Genoa Warner 11.7% 9.0% 11.9% 10.4% 10.2% 8.4% 6.8% 7.6% 7.8% 5.5% 3.9% 3.1% 2.3% 1.2% 0.2%
Sky Adams 7.5% 9.3% 9.8% 7.6% 8.9% 9.7% 7.0% 7.4% 10.1% 5.9% 5.7% 5.6% 3.4% 1.7% 0.4%
Atlantic Brugman 19.2% 17.4% 13.7% 14.3% 9.0% 7.7% 6.2% 5.7% 2.7% 2.0% 1.5% 0.4% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
Christina Johns 2.9% 3.4% 3.7% 5.2% 3.8% 5.5% 5.0% 7.0% 7.2% 7.8% 8.2% 11.7% 10.4% 11.6% 6.6%
Jennifer Proctor 11.4% 13.5% 11.1% 10.0% 11.2% 10.5% 8.6% 6.0% 5.7% 4.7% 3.2% 2.0% 1.6% 0.4% 0.1%
Solvig Sayre 7.1% 6.7% 7.4% 6.7% 7.4% 9.5% 9.5% 9.3% 8.5% 8.2% 7.5% 5.4% 3.9% 2.4% 0.5%
Katherine Gullick 7.3% 6.5% 6.0% 7.0% 7.1% 8.1% 9.1% 8.8% 7.7% 9.1% 7.4% 6.1% 5.5% 3.7% 0.6%
Natalie Sinn 3.0% 2.8% 2.4% 3.8% 3.5% 3.8% 6.1% 5.5% 6.1% 6.9% 9.5% 10.7% 13.1% 13.8% 9.0%
Kelsey Wheeler 10.6% 10.9% 11.2% 11.5% 9.4% 9.3% 9.7% 7.0% 7.2% 5.5% 3.7% 2.0% 1.4% 0.4% 0.2%
Erica Lush 4.3% 3.4% 4.2% 6.2% 6.1% 4.6% 7.5% 6.7% 6.9% 9.1% 10.8% 10.6% 8.9% 8.0% 2.7%
Paula Grasberger 5.0% 5.4% 5.7% 6.7% 6.9% 6.4% 7.1% 6.6% 8.9% 8.7% 7.7% 8.0% 8.1% 5.6% 3.2%
Hillary Paulsen 2.0% 1.9% 1.9% 1.4% 3.6% 3.9% 3.9% 5.9% 4.8% 6.9% 8.1% 10.0% 16.1% 18.1% 11.5%
Katherine Doble 5.1% 5.9% 7.4% 4.7% 7.6% 7.0% 6.4% 8.9% 9.2% 8.9% 9.9% 8.0% 5.1% 4.2% 1.7%
Catherine Coupland 2.5% 3.0% 2.6% 3.4% 4.4% 4.4% 5.3% 6.0% 5.0% 8.5% 9.4% 11.5% 12.0% 15.1% 6.9%
Mary Hamilton 0.4% 0.9% 1.0% 1.1% 0.9% 1.2% 1.8% 1.6% 2.2% 2.3% 3.5% 4.9% 8.0% 13.8% 56.4%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.