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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.7
Avg Position Diff
5
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Northeastern University1.09+0.96vs Predicted
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2Olin College of Engineering0.87+0.15vs Predicted
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3Williams College-0.60+0.62vs Predicted
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4Maine Maritime Academy0.06-1.01vs Predicted
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5Massachusetts Maritime Academy-1.29-0.73vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.96Northeastern University1.090.4%1st Place
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2.15Olin College of Engineering0.870.3%1st Place
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3.62Williams College-0.600.1%1st Place
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2.99Maine Maritime Academy0.060.1%1st Place
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4.27Massachusetts Maritime Academy-1.290.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Peter Taboada | 40.9% | 32.1% | 18.3% | 7.2% | 1.5% |
| Peter Schnell | 33.8% | 31.5% | 22.4% | 10.5% | 1.8% |
| Felix Nusbaum | 8.4% | 9.8% | 19.1% | 36.3% | 26.4% |
| Nathan Hyde | 13.8% | 19.8% | 30.5% | 25.3% | 10.6% |
| Norman Walker | 3.1% | 6.8% | 9.7% | 20.7% | 59.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.