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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.5
Avg Position Diff
5
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Olin College of Engineering0.87+1.17vs Predicted
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2Northeastern University1.09-0.08vs Predicted
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3Maine Maritime Academy0.06-0.02vs Predicted
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4Williams College-0.60-0.34vs Predicted
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5Massachusetts Maritime Academy-1.29-0.72vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.17Olin College of Engineering0.870.3%1st Place
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1.92Northeastern University1.090.4%1st Place
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2.98Maine Maritime Academy0.060.1%1st Place
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3.66Williams College-0.600.1%1st Place
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4.28Massachusetts Maritime Academy-1.290.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Peter Schnell | 34.5% | 30.7% | 21.2% | 10.8% | 2.8% |
| Peter Taboada | 42.6% | 31.4% | 18.8% | 6.3% | 0.9% |
| Nathan Hyde | 14.2% | 19.6% | 29.3% | 27.5% | 9.4% |
| Felix Nusbaum | 5.8% | 11.5% | 21.7% | 33.4% | 27.6% |
| Norman Walker | 2.9% | 6.8% | 9.0% | 22.0% | 59.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.