Race 1A

harvard-fj-invitational

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

26.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15
Benjamin Stevens 7.5% 6.2% 5.9% 7.1% 7.0% 7.5% 7.4% 6.1% 7.8% 5.8% 8.4% 7.7% 7.5% 4.5% 3.6%
Graham Ness 8.7% 11.7% 10.6% 10.4% 7.3% 8.9% 7.3% 8.1% 6.4% 6.0% 5.9% 4.0% 2.4% 1.8% 0.5%
Peter Busch 13.8% 13.6% 11.8% 9.6% 9.8% 9.0% 7.3% 7.4% 6.2% 3.7% 3.0% 3.0% 1.3% 0.5% 0.0%
Nick Budington 10.4% 9.7% 8.9% 10.7% 7.5% 8.1% 8.6% 5.8% 7.2% 6.9% 5.9% 4.0% 3.2% 2.3% 0.8%
Ella Hubbard 6.4% 6.1% 5.5% 6.0% 6.2% 7.5% 6.5% 5.6% 9.0% 8.3% 8.4% 7.7% 7.2% 6.6% 3.0%
Ian Hopkins Guerra 9.6% 10.6% 8.1% 8.7% 9.9% 9.9% 8.4% 7.7% 6.5% 5.7% 4.9% 5.5% 2.2% 1.8% 0.5%
Adrien Bellanger 6.7% 4.9% 4.8% 5.0% 5.5% 7.3% 7.7% 7.6% 7.0% 8.1% 7.4% 8.4% 8.6% 6.8% 4.2%
Chase Reynolds 6.9% 6.4% 7.5% 7.2% 7.4% 6.6% 8.5% 6.9% 7.1% 7.3% 7.4% 7.8% 6.9% 4.3% 1.8%
Alexandra Chigas 5.6% 5.3% 6.4% 6.7% 8.1% 6.4% 6.7% 8.8% 6.4% 7.4% 9.2% 8.3% 6.7% 6.0% 2.0%
Matthew Wallace 5.6% 5.0% 7.6% 5.9% 8.6% 6.4% 6.4% 7.5% 8.1% 7.9% 7.2% 7.4% 7.8% 6.2% 2.4%
Adam Larzelere 5.2% 6.9% 6.8% 6.3% 6.4% 6.3% 7.4% 7.8% 6.6% 7.8% 6.8% 7.2% 8.1% 6.6% 3.8%
Clark Morris 7.1% 6.6% 9.2% 8.0% 7.3% 7.6% 7.9% 7.6% 8.0% 8.9% 6.3% 6.1% 4.9% 3.4% 1.1%
Blake Vogel 2.6% 3.3% 2.5% 3.6% 4.1% 3.6% 3.7% 5.4% 5.1% 5.0% 7.6% 9.4% 13.0% 14.7% 16.4%
Charlie Apolinsky 1.8% 1.6% 2.0% 2.1% 2.2% 2.3% 2.9% 4.1% 4.6% 5.2% 5.6% 6.8% 9.2% 19.0% 30.6%
Alex Kitay 2.1% 2.1% 2.4% 2.7% 2.7% 2.6% 3.3% 3.6% 4.0% 6.0% 6.0% 6.7% 11.0% 15.5% 29.3%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.