Race 2A

harvard-fj-invitational

← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

40.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15
Ian Hopkins Guerra 11.2% 9.9% 11.6% 7.1% 10.2% 8.2% 5.7% 7.8% 7.3% 5.7% 5.4% 4.1% 2.6% 1.9% 1.3%
Peter Busch 13.7% 15.1% 10.9% 11.5% 9.2% 7.7% 7.4% 8.0% 4.1% 4.5% 2.9% 2.9% 1.5% 0.6% 0.0%
Adrien Bellanger 5.1% 5.5% 6.1% 5.5% 6.4% 7.6% 6.1% 7.3% 7.6% 6.6% 8.7% 8.8% 7.6% 7.6% 3.5%
Ella Hubbard 5.7% 6.4% 6.2% 7.1% 7.0% 6.9% 7.7% 5.9% 6.9% 7.4% 8.3% 7.9% 7.0% 6.4% 3.2%
Graham Ness 10.3% 9.8% 8.4% 8.3% 8.9% 8.0% 7.6% 9.8% 6.9% 7.2% 4.7% 3.6% 3.9% 2.2% 0.4%
Benjamin Stevens 5.5% 5.9% 6.7% 5.9% 6.3% 6.6% 7.4% 8.4% 8.7% 8.2% 8.1% 7.4% 7.6% 4.8% 2.5%
Chase Reynolds 7.8% 6.2% 6.7% 7.1% 6.8% 7.6% 7.9% 9.0% 7.5% 7.2% 7.1% 5.5% 6.3% 5.5% 1.8%
Matthew Wallace 6.4% 5.4% 7.1% 7.7% 6.1% 5.9% 7.7% 5.8% 7.2% 9.5% 8.9% 7.4% 7.1% 4.9% 2.9%
Nick Budington 9.1% 9.3% 9.1% 11.2% 8.7% 8.6% 8.9% 7.4% 6.7% 6.7% 5.2% 4.1% 3.6% 0.7% 0.7%
Clark Morris 7.4% 8.4% 7.6% 7.4% 8.6% 7.6% 8.9% 8.1% 6.8% 8.1% 6.0% 5.2% 5.6% 3.1% 1.2%
Alexandra Chigas 5.5% 6.8% 5.7% 7.1% 6.5% 7.2% 5.9% 6.4% 9.1% 7.7% 6.9% 7.3% 7.8% 6.1% 4.0%
Blake Vogel 2.9% 2.1% 2.0% 3.0% 3.4% 4.7% 5.7% 4.9% 5.2% 6.2% 6.8% 11.1% 11.5% 15.9% 14.6%
Charlie Apolinsky 1.5% 1.1% 2.1% 2.2% 2.9% 2.9% 3.0% 2.5% 3.4% 3.4% 5.7% 8.0% 10.5% 17.8% 33.0%
Adam Larzelere 6.3% 5.3% 6.7% 6.6% 7.0% 7.3% 7.0% 5.4% 9.0% 6.7% 9.4% 7.4% 6.8% 5.8% 3.3%
Alex Kitay 1.6% 2.8% 3.1% 2.3% 2.0% 3.2% 3.1% 3.3% 3.6% 4.9% 5.9% 9.3% 10.6% 16.7% 27.6%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.