Race 3A

harvard-fj-invitational

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

26.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15
Ella Hubbard 7.6% 5.5% 5.7% 7.7% 6.4% 6.6% 8.5% 6.8% 5.2% 7.8% 8.8% 7.2% 7.1% 4.8% 4.3%
Peter Busch 13.5% 14.5% 11.6% 10.3% 9.4% 10.3% 6.0% 6.9% 4.8% 4.4% 3.8% 2.4% 1.4% 0.3% 0.4%
Graham Ness 9.7% 10.6% 10.5% 8.8% 8.9% 8.7% 7.4% 7.3% 7.8% 6.2% 6.1% 3.1% 2.9% 1.7% 0.3%
Ian Hopkins Guerra 10.9% 10.0% 9.5% 9.3% 7.7% 9.1% 8.5% 6.8% 6.1% 7.1% 5.3% 4.2% 3.5% 1.5% 0.5%
Nick Budington 10.0% 10.0% 8.7% 8.1% 8.3% 8.3% 8.7% 7.8% 7.7% 6.0% 4.4% 5.2% 3.5% 2.6% 0.7%
Chase Reynolds 6.8% 6.1% 7.6% 6.6% 7.7% 6.4% 7.5% 8.9% 7.5% 8.5% 6.9% 6.2% 7.2% 4.3% 1.8%
Blake Vogel 3.6% 2.7% 3.6% 2.7% 4.6% 4.1% 4.6% 4.9% 4.7% 6.1% 8.5% 10.6% 11.0% 13.3% 15.0%
Matthew Wallace 6.6% 5.3% 7.5% 6.7% 6.2% 7.3% 7.9% 6.8% 6.9% 7.1% 8.3% 7.4% 8.0% 5.6% 2.4%
Alexandra Chigas 5.2% 5.9% 7.0% 6.5% 6.9% 7.3% 7.1% 6.7% 8.2% 7.7% 7.7% 9.2% 6.4% 6.0% 2.2%
Benjamin Stevens 5.3% 5.5% 5.7% 7.2% 8.6% 5.8% 7.9% 6.9% 8.6% 7.0% 7.8% 6.9% 7.5% 6.9% 2.4%
Adrien Bellanger 4.6% 6.1% 5.9% 6.6% 6.3% 6.3% 6.0% 7.0% 8.1% 6.7% 6.5% 7.9% 8.3% 8.6% 5.1%
Clark Morris 6.8% 7.8% 7.6% 9.1% 6.7% 8.8% 7.0% 8.4% 8.5% 7.1% 7.5% 4.8% 5.7% 3.2% 1.0%
Adam Larzelere 5.9% 5.9% 5.2% 5.7% 6.7% 6.1% 6.2% 7.0% 7.2% 8.9% 7.8% 9.4% 8.1% 6.4% 3.5%
Charlie Apolinsky 1.7% 1.7% 1.7% 2.1% 2.7% 1.9% 3.4% 4.5% 4.0% 4.5% 5.4% 7.6% 9.4% 18.2% 31.2%
Alex Kitay 1.8% 2.4% 2.2% 2.6% 2.9% 3.0% 3.3% 3.3% 4.7% 4.9% 5.2% 7.9% 10.0% 16.6% 29.2%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.