Race 5A

harvard-fj-invitational

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

13.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15
Nick Budington 10.1% 9.7% 10.8% 8.8% 7.8% 8.4% 7.9% 8.3% 6.8% 5.6% 5.4% 3.9% 3.4% 1.8% 1.3%
Ian Hopkins Guerra 9.3% 12.4% 9.6% 10.1% 9.2% 7.9% 8.4% 6.5% 5.7% 6.3% 5.3% 4.2% 2.2% 2.4% 0.5%
Alexandra Chigas 5.9% 5.7% 6.9% 6.4% 7.2% 7.0% 6.2% 6.7% 7.4% 8.9% 7.3% 9.7% 6.8% 5.9% 2.0%
Graham Ness 10.0% 10.1% 10.0% 10.2% 8.3% 8.0% 7.3% 6.9% 7.9% 5.4% 5.6% 5.0% 2.7% 1.8% 0.8%
Adam Larzelere 6.4% 5.9% 6.1% 5.5% 6.0% 7.8% 6.4% 6.6% 7.7% 8.5% 7.8% 8.3% 7.2% 6.4% 3.4%
Adrien Bellanger 5.0% 5.9% 5.1% 5.1% 5.1% 6.7% 7.2% 7.4% 7.8% 7.9% 9.0% 9.6% 7.4% 6.3% 4.5%
Clark Morris 9.4% 7.3% 6.5% 10.0% 6.7% 8.8% 6.9% 8.4% 9.0% 7.3% 5.1% 5.4% 4.9% 3.2% 1.1%
Blake Vogel 2.9% 3.0% 3.2% 3.2% 4.2% 3.9% 5.3% 5.4% 5.1% 5.3% 7.8% 9.4% 12.4% 14.8% 14.1%
Peter Busch 13.4% 11.9% 13.6% 11.0% 9.5% 8.4% 8.0% 6.7% 7.0% 3.2% 3.5% 2.1% 1.1% 0.5% 0.1%
Matthew Wallace 5.9% 5.6% 6.4% 6.3% 7.6% 6.4% 8.0% 8.0% 6.0% 8.4% 8.5% 7.5% 7.1% 5.6% 2.7%
Benjamin Stevens 6.0% 7.1% 5.8% 7.1% 6.1% 7.6% 6.6% 7.5% 7.2% 7.4% 7.2% 7.5% 7.7% 6.1% 3.1%
Ella Hubbard 5.3% 3.8% 6.1% 6.2% 7.3% 7.3% 7.6% 7.0% 7.4% 8.1% 9.3% 6.9% 7.6% 6.9% 3.2%
Alex Kitay 1.6% 1.9% 2.3% 2.2% 2.4% 3.2% 4.3% 2.3% 4.1% 4.3% 5.0% 7.0% 12.6% 16.5% 30.3%
Charlie Apolinsky 1.5% 1.9% 1.6% 1.8% 3.4% 2.1% 2.6% 5.2% 4.5% 5.4% 4.5% 5.9% 11.1% 17.2% 31.3%
Chase Reynolds 7.3% 7.8% 6.0% 6.1% 9.2% 6.5% 7.3% 7.1% 6.4% 8.0% 8.7% 7.6% 5.8% 4.6% 1.6%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.