Race 6A

harvard-fj-invitational

← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

40.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15
Graham Ness 10.8% 9.8% 10.3% 10.4% 8.5% 9.2% 6.9% 5.9% 6.3% 6.5% 5.5% 3.8% 3.6% 1.3% 1.2%
Alexandra Chigas 6.0% 5.9% 6.8% 7.1% 8.3% 6.2% 7.1% 7.6% 7.3% 7.5% 8.0% 7.6% 6.1% 4.8% 3.7%
Peter Busch 14.2% 12.4% 12.4% 11.9% 8.3% 8.3% 8.7% 7.4% 4.5% 4.5% 2.5% 2.4% 1.7% 0.8% 0.0%
Adrien Bellanger 5.1% 5.3% 6.4% 6.1% 6.5% 6.9% 6.3% 7.1% 7.6% 7.1% 7.5% 8.2% 8.9% 7.4% 3.6%
Nick Budington 9.7% 8.7% 9.5% 8.7% 8.5% 8.3% 8.5% 7.8% 7.7% 6.1% 4.8% 5.2% 2.9% 2.9% 0.7%
Ella Hubbard 5.5% 6.9% 5.4% 5.2% 6.4% 7.4% 6.9% 8.3% 7.9% 9.0% 8.0% 8.0% 6.4% 6.2% 2.5%
Matthew Wallace 7.3% 5.0% 7.2% 6.5% 6.4% 7.1% 8.1% 8.2% 6.8% 7.0% 7.5% 7.9% 6.2% 6.1% 2.7%
Benjamin Stevens 6.0% 6.7% 6.2% 6.4% 7.3% 7.3% 6.4% 6.3% 7.8% 6.6% 9.3% 9.0% 6.8% 4.9% 3.0%
Clark Morris 7.7% 7.5% 8.7% 8.6% 9.5% 7.8% 7.8% 7.1% 8.1% 7.5% 6.5% 5.5% 3.8% 2.7% 1.2%
Alex Kitay 2.1% 2.1% 1.4% 2.4% 2.1% 2.9% 3.5% 3.8% 4.7% 4.4% 6.0% 7.6% 11.0% 18.9% 27.1%
Chase Reynolds 5.9% 8.4% 6.8% 7.2% 7.1% 7.2% 7.5% 7.7% 5.9% 7.9% 6.7% 6.6% 8.3% 4.0% 2.8%
Blake Vogel 3.1% 1.9% 2.3% 2.1% 4.4% 4.6% 5.0% 4.9% 4.9% 7.0% 7.7% 8.6% 12.1% 15.9% 15.5%
Adam Larzelere 4.8% 5.8% 6.3% 5.5% 5.9% 7.1% 6.5% 6.5% 8.0% 7.9% 9.3% 8.6% 8.7% 6.0% 3.1%
Charlie Apolinsky 1.5% 1.5% 2.2% 2.5% 2.5% 1.9% 2.5% 3.7% 4.6% 5.1% 6.0% 6.9% 10.0% 16.8% 32.3%
Ian Hopkins Guerra 10.3% 12.1% 8.1% 9.4% 8.3% 7.8% 8.3% 7.7% 7.9% 5.9% 4.7% 4.1% 3.5% 1.3% 0.6%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.