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📊 Prediction Accuracy
26.7%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Connecticut College3.71+3.03vs Predicted
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2Yale University3.10+3.63vs Predicted
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3Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.61+4.30vs Predicted
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4University of Minnesota1.77+6.08vs Predicted
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5Bowdoin College2.56+2.60vs Predicted
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6U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.32-0.90vs Predicted
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7Dartmouth College3.18-1.53vs Predicted
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8University of Rhode Island1.77+2.16vs Predicted
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9Cornell University1.60+1.64vs Predicted
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10Brown University2.82-3.24vs Predicted
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11Boston University2.21-2.22vs Predicted
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12University of Pennsylvania1.95-2.18vs Predicted
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13Tufts University2.38-4.62vs Predicted
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14Eckerd College2.73-7.04vs Predicted
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15Fordham University0.43-1.73vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.03Connecticut College3.710.2%1st Place
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5.63Yale University3.100.1%1st Place
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7.3Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.610.1%1st Place
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10.08University of Minnesota1.770.0%1st Place
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7.6Bowdoin College2.560.1%1st Place
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5.1U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.320.1%1st Place
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5.47Dartmouth College3.180.1%1st Place
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10.16University of Rhode Island1.770.0%1st Place
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10.64Cornell University1.600.0%1st Place
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6.76Brown University2.820.1%1st Place
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8.78Boston University2.210.0%1st Place
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9.82University of Pennsylvania1.950.0%1st Place
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8.38Tufts University2.380.0%1st Place
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6.96Eckerd College2.730.1%1st Place
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13.27Fordham University0.430.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Atlantic Brugman | 20.1% | 18.0% | 13.7% | 11.9% | 8.0% | 9.6% | 6.6% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Genoa Warner | 10.4% | 12.3% | 9.8% | 10.2% | 9.8% | 8.8% | 9.6% | 7.7% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 4.4% | 2.6% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| Katherine Gullick | 6.6% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 8.5% | 7.0% | 8.8% | 9.2% | 8.3% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 4.1% | 3.2% | 0.9% |
| Natalie Sinn | 2.2% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 9.0% | 9.6% | 13.9% | 13.8% | 8.6% |
| Katherine Doble | 6.6% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 10.7% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 1.1% |
| Jennifer Proctor | 12.3% | 11.6% | 11.1% | 12.5% | 11.5% | 10.1% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 5.8% | 3.8% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Kelsey Wheeler | 11.7% | 10.6% | 11.8% | 10.6% | 10.1% | 9.7% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 2.7% | 1.8% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| Catherine Coupland | 2.7% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 11.6% | 12.8% | 14.7% | 8.9% |
| Hillary Paulsen | 2.1% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 4.1% | 3.1% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 7.7% | 9.2% | 9.8% | 12.9% | 19.0% | 9.7% |
| Sky Adams | 6.4% | 8.8% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 9.0% | 8.0% | 8.7% | 8.6% | 9.0% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 1.9% | 0.5% |
| Erica Lush | 3.7% | 3.7% | 6.4% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 9.8% | 9.0% | 9.3% | 3.5% |
| Christina Johns | 2.8% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 4.0% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 10.2% | 11.9% | 13.3% | 11.6% | 5.8% |
| Paula Grasberger | 4.8% | 5.6% | 4.1% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 9.7% | 9.2% | 8.4% | 9.9% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 2.1% |
| Solvig Sayre | 6.9% | 6.7% | 8.6% | 9.3% | 8.0% | 5.7% | 8.6% | 9.4% | 9.0% | 7.1% | 8.6% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 2.6% | 0.6% |
| Mary Hamilton | 0.7% | 0.4% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 4.8% | 8.5% | 11.2% | 58.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.