Race 8A

harvard-fj-invitational

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

20.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15
Adrien Bellanger 6.4% 5.9% 5.6% 6.1% 5.8% 6.4% 7.2% 7.6% 6.1% 6.4% 8.6% 7.6% 8.7% 6.9% 4.7%
Peter Busch 13.5% 15.3% 10.9% 11.6% 9.8% 7.6% 7.8% 7.2% 4.3% 3.5% 3.5% 3.2% 1.3% 0.4% 0.1%
Graham Ness 10.3% 10.2% 9.9% 8.2% 9.3% 9.0% 7.9% 7.3% 7.2% 7.2% 4.8% 4.0% 2.8% 1.5% 0.4%
Ian Hopkins Guerra 10.1% 9.7% 10.8% 9.1% 8.6% 7.1% 9.4% 6.8% 7.0% 6.8% 5.2% 3.6% 3.3% 2.0% 0.5%
Ella Hubbard 6.6% 5.6% 6.2% 6.3% 5.7% 7.4% 6.9% 7.1% 7.0% 7.3% 10.1% 7.7% 6.3% 7.0% 2.8%
Adam Larzelere 5.9% 5.4% 5.4% 6.6% 7.5% 6.5% 6.3% 7.5% 8.9% 8.8% 8.5% 6.8% 7.0% 6.7% 2.2%
Charlie Apolinsky 2.5% 2.1% 1.5% 2.8% 2.1% 3.3% 2.4% 2.2% 4.5% 4.8% 4.6% 8.1% 11.3% 17.8% 30.0%
Matthew Wallace 6.1% 6.0% 7.0% 6.4% 7.2% 5.9% 6.3% 8.9% 6.8% 8.1% 6.8% 9.8% 7.0% 4.4% 3.3%
Clark Morris 7.4% 7.7% 9.2% 8.1% 8.2% 9.4% 8.1% 8.2% 6.5% 6.9% 7.0% 5.6% 4.0% 2.7% 1.0%
Alexandra Chigas 5.8% 4.3% 6.6% 7.9% 6.6% 6.1% 7.6% 7.4% 7.1% 8.8% 6.6% 7.9% 7.6% 6.7% 3.0%
Benjamin Stevens 5.1% 7.3% 6.9% 6.3% 7.5% 6.2% 7.3% 6.3% 8.9% 6.7% 6.6% 6.4% 7.8% 6.9% 3.8%
Alex Kitay 2.0% 1.3% 1.9% 1.1% 2.3% 2.9% 4.2% 2.3% 5.0% 5.6% 5.4% 7.5% 11.9% 16.1% 30.5%
Nick Budington 9.0% 8.4% 8.5% 9.2% 7.5% 9.6% 7.2% 7.6% 9.1% 6.0% 6.2% 5.2% 3.6% 1.9% 1.0%
Blake Vogel 2.8% 2.8% 3.4% 3.4% 3.7% 5.3% 4.2% 6.4% 4.7% 5.3% 8.2% 9.5% 11.3% 13.8% 15.2%
Chase Reynolds 6.5% 8.0% 6.2% 6.9% 8.2% 7.3% 7.2% 7.2% 6.9% 7.8% 7.9% 7.1% 6.1% 5.2% 1.5%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.