Race 9A

harvard-fj-invitational

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

13.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.6
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15
Nick Budington 10.3% 9.2% 10.0% 10.1% 8.9% 8.3% 7.3% 6.6% 6.5% 6.4% 5.4% 4.7% 3.3% 1.5% 1.5%
Adrien Bellanger 4.9% 5.6% 6.5% 6.7% 6.9% 7.3% 6.5% 6.8% 6.2% 7.4% 9.3% 8.9% 6.0% 6.6% 4.4%
Peter Busch 15.0% 12.4% 11.5% 10.8% 9.5% 7.8% 9.8% 6.0% 5.4% 5.3% 2.5% 2.3% 1.0% 0.6% 0.1%
Matthew Wallace 6.2% 6.9% 6.0% 7.0% 7.3% 7.9% 6.3% 6.7% 7.7% 6.9% 7.1% 9.8% 6.2% 5.1% 2.9%
Alex Kitay 2.0% 2.4% 2.3% 2.4% 3.2% 3.2% 2.9% 3.4% 3.7% 5.3% 6.5% 6.5% 9.2% 17.9% 29.1%
Adam Larzelere 5.9% 6.7% 5.6% 5.4% 6.6% 5.6% 7.9% 8.2% 6.9% 8.9% 9.3% 6.0% 8.1% 5.9% 3.0%
Ella Hubbard 7.2% 5.0% 7.0% 6.0% 5.1% 7.5% 7.7% 8.2% 7.8% 7.1% 8.3% 6.7% 8.4% 5.5% 2.5%
Alexandra Chigas 5.8% 6.4% 5.9% 7.4% 5.5% 6.2% 6.5% 8.2% 7.1% 7.7% 7.3% 8.9% 8.1% 5.6% 3.4%
Ian Hopkins Guerra 9.3% 10.4% 9.7% 9.2% 10.9% 8.9% 7.5% 6.7% 7.5% 6.9% 4.6% 3.3% 3.0% 1.8% 0.3%
Chase Reynolds 6.0% 5.9% 7.6% 7.8% 5.8% 8.5% 7.4% 7.4% 7.7% 8.1% 7.2% 6.9% 6.9% 4.9% 1.9%
Clark Morris 7.1% 10.1% 9.4% 7.0% 7.8% 7.3% 7.6% 7.0% 6.9% 6.9% 5.2% 7.5% 5.7% 2.6% 1.9%
Benjamin Stevens 5.0% 5.6% 5.4% 6.7% 7.5% 6.2% 7.1% 6.6% 8.2% 7.3% 8.2% 8.5% 8.2% 7.4% 2.1%
Graham Ness 10.4% 8.6% 7.2% 8.4% 9.5% 7.8% 7.8% 9.7% 7.2% 6.4% 6.3% 4.9% 2.8% 2.0% 1.0%
Charlie Apolinsky 1.9% 1.2% 2.4% 2.0% 2.3% 2.9% 3.6% 3.1% 4.3% 4.4% 5.7% 7.1% 10.1% 17.1% 31.9%
Blake Vogel 3.0% 3.6% 3.5% 3.1% 3.2% 4.6% 4.1% 5.4% 6.9% 5.0% 7.1% 8.0% 13.0% 15.5% 14.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.