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📊 Prediction Accuracy
46.7%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University1.66+6.74vs Predicted
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2Roger Williams University1.75+5.37vs Predicted
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3Boston College2.44+2.17vs Predicted
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4Tufts University1.51+4.30vs Predicted
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5Bowdoin College1.65+3.00vs Predicted
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6Tufts University1.93+0.91vs Predicted
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7Roger Williams University2.15-0.91vs Predicted
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8Boston College2.13-1.77vs Predicted
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9Tufts University1.62-1.11vs Predicted
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10Tufts University1.61-1.92vs Predicted
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11Tufts University0.93-0.65vs Predicted
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12Roger Williams University1.62-3.75vs Predicted
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13Bowdoin College0.42-1.08vs Predicted
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14Boston College2.10-7.77vs Predicted
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15Bowdoin College0.52-3.51vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.74Tufts University1.660.1%1st Place
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7.37Roger Williams University1.750.1%1st Place
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5.17Boston College2.440.1%1st Place
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8.3Tufts University1.510.1%1st Place
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8.0Bowdoin College1.650.1%1st Place
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6.91Tufts University1.930.1%1st Place
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6.09Roger Williams University2.150.1%1st Place
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6.23Boston College2.130.1%1st Place
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7.89Tufts University1.620.1%1st Place
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8.08Tufts University1.610.1%1st Place
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10.35Tufts University0.930.0%1st Place
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8.25Roger Williams University1.620.1%1st Place
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11.92Bowdoin College0.420.0%1st Place
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6.23Boston College2.100.1%1st Place
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11.49Bowdoin College0.520.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matthew Wallace | 7.1% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 2.7% |
| Chase Reynolds | 5.9% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 4.2% | 1.5% |
| Peter Busch | 14.2% | 12.5% | 11.0% | 10.8% | 9.7% | 9.1% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 3.0% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Adrien Bellanger | 5.8% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 8.9% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 4.5% |
| Benjamin Stevens | 5.9% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 8.7% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 5.9% | 3.4% |
| Clark Morris | 7.8% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 3.1% | 0.7% |
| Ian Hopkins Guerra | 11.3% | 9.0% | 10.4% | 8.2% | 10.7% | 8.4% | 8.3% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 3.5% | 1.9% | 0.6% |
| Graham Ness | 10.0% | 10.5% | 9.2% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 8.5% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 0.7% |
| Ella Hubbard | 5.1% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 5.8% | 2.2% |
| Adam Larzelere | 5.5% | 5.0% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 8.4% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 8.7% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 2.9% |
| Blake Vogel | 3.0% | 2.5% | 4.1% | 3.1% | 4.3% | 2.8% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 9.4% | 10.5% | 15.2% | 14.8% |
| Alexandra Chigas | 5.1% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 8.4% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 2.7% |
| Charlie Apolinsky | 1.3% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 10.5% | 16.4% | 33.6% |
| Nick Budington | 10.0% | 11.3% | 7.8% | 9.2% | 9.2% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 8.9% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 1.2% | 0.8% |
| Alex Kitay | 2.0% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 1.8% | 3.9% | 2.5% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 10.8% | 16.3% | 28.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.