Race 4A

hood

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

21.1%
Within 2 Positions
3.6
Avg Position Diff
19
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19
Sam Bonauto 5.4% 7.2% 7.4% 7.5% 7.2% 6.5% 6.4% 6.9% 7.6% 6.9% 4.9% 5.6% 5.1% 3.6% 3.7% 3.9% 2.4% 1.5% 0.3%
Mitchell Callahan 11.9% 11.5% 10.1% 9.2% 9.5% 7.2% 7.4% 7.0% 4.9% 5.4% 4.4% 4.0% 3.2% 1.5% 1.5% 0.8% 0.3% 0.2% 0.0%
Stephan Baker 16.1% 14.4% 11.1% 10.2% 8.3% 9.4% 6.4% 6.3% 5.6% 4.1% 2.8% 2.0% 1.2% 0.6% 0.6% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
Nathan Sih 5.5% 7.2% 6.5% 6.2% 5.8% 6.3% 6.7% 6.6% 7.5% 5.6% 6.5% 7.2% 6.0% 6.1% 3.4% 3.0% 2.4% 1.2% 0.3%
Bryan Trammell 3.4% 4.1% 4.2% 5.7% 5.9% 3.9% 6.2% 6.7% 6.5% 5.8% 6.8% 6.6% 6.2% 6.3% 5.9% 6.2% 5.7% 2.8% 1.1%
George Higham 5.6% 4.5% 5.5% 5.0% 4.9% 6.8% 5.8% 5.3% 5.4% 4.1% 5.7% 6.3% 6.8% 7.1% 5.0% 5.5% 4.5% 4.3% 1.9%
Adrian Winkelman 4.8% 3.8% 4.1% 4.6% 5.3% 4.5% 4.6% 6.3% 6.1% 5.6% 6.5% 6.7% 7.7% 7.5% 5.7% 5.3% 5.3% 4.0% 1.6%
Shea Smith 4.7% 3.6% 3.8% 3.6% 4.5% 4.6% 4.0% 4.5% 5.5% 6.7% 6.3% 6.3% 5.1% 7.2% 8.4% 6.2% 5.9% 6.4% 2.7%
Oliver Stokke 6.2% 7.7% 7.0% 6.7% 6.8% 5.8% 6.0% 7.6% 7.4% 5.6% 5.6% 4.9% 5.3% 5.4% 4.3% 3.4% 2.0% 1.5% 0.8%
Jed Bell 6.0% 3.9% 5.8% 6.9% 6.1% 6.8% 6.1% 4.8% 6.2% 6.8% 7.5% 6.4% 5.4% 5.8% 6.2% 4.4% 2.8% 1.6% 0.5%
Dylan Ascencios 8.6% 8.4% 9.7% 8.2% 8.9% 7.1% 7.8% 7.4% 7.1% 6.0% 4.2% 4.6% 3.4% 3.2% 2.1% 1.5% 1.4% 0.4% 0.0%
Wilson Kaznoski 1.2% 1.5% 1.8% 1.4% 2.2% 2.0% 2.6% 3.5% 2.7% 3.2% 3.2% 3.4% 4.9% 4.9% 7.6% 9.2% 12.9% 14.0% 17.8%
Elliott Mendenhall 2.6% 1.9% 2.4% 2.5% 2.9% 3.2% 2.9% 2.5% 3.8% 4.2% 5.5% 3.1% 6.5% 7.1% 7.2% 9.2% 10.7% 10.3% 11.5%
Peter Joslin 7.8% 7.1% 7.7% 8.8% 8.7% 8.5% 7.9% 6.4% 5.6% 6.1% 5.7% 5.5% 4.4% 3.2% 3.8% 1.2% 0.7% 0.7% 0.2%
Emil Tullberg 0.9% 1.9% 1.6% 1.2% 1.0% 1.6% 2.3% 1.6% 1.8% 2.3% 3.8% 4.1% 3.7% 4.6% 6.0% 6.0% 9.0% 12.8% 33.8%
William George 2.8% 3.3% 3.0% 4.9% 3.4% 4.0% 4.5% 4.8% 5.0% 5.0% 6.4% 6.8% 7.2% 6.7% 6.1% 7.8% 7.4% 6.6% 4.3%
Olin Guck 1.6% 2.2% 1.9% 1.8% 2.7% 3.2% 3.8% 3.2% 2.2% 3.8% 4.4% 4.0% 5.1% 6.0% 6.7% 8.4% 11.2% 15.4% 12.4%
Peter McGonagle 2.0% 2.5% 4.1% 2.6% 3.8% 4.5% 4.0% 4.3% 5.7% 6.9% 4.9% 6.3% 5.9% 6.6% 7.6% 8.8% 7.7% 7.3% 4.5%
Jack Derry 2.9% 3.3% 2.3% 3.0% 2.1% 4.1% 4.6% 4.3% 3.4% 5.9% 4.9% 6.2% 6.9% 6.6% 8.2% 8.5% 7.5% 9.0% 6.3%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.