Race 5A

hood

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

31.6%
Within 2 Positions
3.9
Avg Position Diff
19
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19
Stephan Baker 15.3% 14.8% 11.2% 10.8% 9.7% 9.2% 7.0% 5.9% 4.3% 2.9% 2.8% 2.2% 1.8% 1.0% 0.4% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
Oliver Stokke 6.4% 6.5% 5.0% 7.8% 6.0% 6.6% 6.2% 6.3% 7.8% 6.3% 5.9% 6.3% 5.2% 4.6% 4.5% 4.2% 2.2% 1.8% 0.4%
Bryan Trammell 5.3% 5.0% 4.5% 4.6% 4.9% 6.0% 5.6% 4.8% 4.5% 5.4% 6.8% 8.3% 6.6% 6.3% 5.4% 6.9% 4.5% 2.7% 1.9%
Shea Smith 3.0% 5.4% 4.3% 4.5% 3.8% 4.0% 4.1% 5.5% 5.6% 6.6% 6.7% 6.1% 7.2% 5.8% 8.2% 7.3% 6.0% 4.2% 1.7%
Sam Bonauto 5.4% 6.3% 6.4% 6.8% 7.2% 7.3% 6.3% 7.3% 6.3% 6.8% 6.1% 6.7% 5.8% 4.1% 4.6% 3.3% 2.4% 0.9% 0.0%
Peter McGonagle 3.4% 2.4% 4.4% 3.3% 4.2% 3.3% 4.4% 3.7% 5.7% 4.8% 4.4% 5.0% 6.2% 6.5% 7.6% 6.9% 9.6% 6.4% 7.8%
Dylan Ascencios 8.7% 8.0% 8.6% 8.0% 9.5% 6.7% 8.3% 8.0% 6.4% 6.4% 4.7% 4.5% 4.0% 4.0% 2.2% 0.6% 0.8% 0.5% 0.1%
Peter Joslin 8.5% 8.3% 7.2% 8.0% 7.0% 8.7% 6.9% 6.7% 5.9% 5.7% 6.9% 4.6% 3.0% 4.3% 3.6% 2.1% 1.6% 1.0% 0.0%
Adrian Winkelman 4.4% 4.4% 5.5% 4.6% 4.9% 6.2% 5.4% 5.5% 5.9% 5.8% 6.9% 6.1% 7.0% 5.8% 5.9% 5.3% 5.2% 3.0% 2.2%
Wilson Kaznoski 1.3% 2.6% 1.2% 1.8% 2.1% 2.7% 2.0% 3.8% 3.5% 2.4% 3.8% 5.0% 4.9% 6.3% 7.0% 8.8% 11.4% 14.5% 14.9%
Jed Bell 4.8% 5.3% 5.5% 6.1% 5.9% 5.0% 6.6% 5.9% 7.9% 7.3% 6.0% 5.8% 6.6% 6.1% 3.8% 5.0% 3.6% 1.8% 1.0%
Nathan Sih 6.3% 4.8% 5.9% 5.9% 5.9% 6.6% 7.2% 5.1% 7.0% 8.4% 6.2% 7.0% 6.1% 5.8% 4.3% 3.4% 2.4% 1.1% 0.6%
Mitchell Callahan 12.7% 12.0% 10.6% 10.6% 9.2% 7.7% 6.9% 8.4% 5.6% 3.8% 4.1% 3.0% 1.4% 1.6% 1.3% 0.7% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
Elliott Mendenhall 2.4% 1.8% 2.1% 2.2% 2.8% 2.0% 2.8% 2.9% 3.6% 3.3% 4.4% 5.0% 6.2% 7.0% 7.9% 7.8% 10.4% 13.2% 12.2%
Emil Tullberg 1.1% 1.1% 2.5% 1.3% 1.2% 0.8% 1.9% 2.1% 2.0% 2.9% 2.7% 3.9% 3.6% 4.9% 6.2% 6.5% 8.2% 15.1% 32.0%
Olin Guck 1.5% 1.8% 1.9% 2.2% 2.5% 2.5% 3.2% 3.2% 3.3% 4.1% 4.0% 3.9% 5.7% 6.7% 8.3% 8.8% 11.4% 12.3% 12.7%
Jack Derry 2.4% 1.9% 3.2% 3.0% 3.6% 4.4% 3.7% 3.0% 4.2% 5.0% 4.6% 5.3% 5.1% 6.7% 6.3% 8.8% 9.7% 11.5% 7.6%
George Higham 4.3% 3.6% 5.7% 5.2% 5.9% 5.7% 6.4% 6.2% 5.5% 6.7% 6.8% 6.1% 6.1% 5.5% 5.8% 5.1% 3.8% 3.8% 1.8%
William George 2.8% 4.0% 4.3% 3.3% 3.7% 4.6% 5.1% 5.7% 5.0% 5.4% 6.2% 5.2% 7.5% 7.0% 6.7% 8.1% 6.3% 6.0% 3.1%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.