Race 11A

hood

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

26.3%
Within 2 Positions
4.6
Avg Position Diff
19
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19
Jed Bell 4.6% 5.1% 5.3% 6.1% 7.0% 5.7% 4.5% 6.9% 6.7% 5.2% 6.5% 5.9% 6.3% 6.6% 5.9% 4.4% 3.5% 2.5% 1.3%
Bryan Trammell 4.3% 5.2% 4.6% 5.0% 4.4% 6.1% 5.2% 5.9% 4.3% 5.5% 5.8% 7.5% 6.1% 7.6% 5.7% 5.4% 5.1% 3.8% 2.5%
Shea Smith 3.9% 4.7% 4.8% 3.5% 4.8% 3.7% 4.4% 4.6% 5.4% 3.5% 6.2% 6.5% 5.3% 7.6% 7.5% 7.5% 7.2% 5.8% 3.1%
Mitchell Callahan 10.6% 11.9% 10.2% 8.9% 8.6% 8.7% 7.8% 7.1% 6.2% 6.0% 4.5% 2.9% 2.4% 1.7% 1.2% 0.8% 0.3% 0.2% 0.0%
Oliver Stokke 4.3% 6.7% 5.8% 6.1% 6.0% 6.0% 7.1% 7.5% 5.5% 6.6% 6.2% 7.3% 5.4% 4.3% 5.7% 4.8% 2.2% 1.8% 0.7%
Jack Derry 3.2% 1.8% 3.7% 3.0% 3.5% 3.9% 2.8% 3.6% 3.7% 3.9% 4.2% 5.7% 5.8% 5.1% 7.5% 8.4% 9.9% 11.7% 8.6%
Dylan Ascencios 8.9% 8.4% 7.8% 7.7% 7.4% 9.8% 6.3% 7.7% 5.6% 7.5% 5.1% 3.8% 5.3% 3.4% 2.6% 1.1% 0.9% 0.4% 0.3%
Peter Joslin 8.9% 6.9% 7.0% 7.7% 7.7% 7.2% 6.9% 6.1% 6.5% 6.7% 5.2% 5.5% 5.1% 4.4% 3.2% 2.2% 1.7% 0.8% 0.3%
Nathan Sih 6.7% 6.2% 7.1% 6.5% 5.4% 7.3% 7.1% 5.5% 5.9% 7.4% 6.3% 5.9% 4.9% 4.5% 6.1% 2.4% 2.3% 1.8% 0.7%
Peter McGonagle 2.7% 3.2% 2.6% 4.1% 3.6% 2.5% 3.6% 5.1% 3.5% 5.6% 5.3% 5.2% 6.9% 7.2% 6.3% 7.9% 10.3% 8.8% 5.6%
Wilson Kaznoski 1.7% 1.6% 1.3% 1.6% 2.5% 2.0% 2.3% 1.7% 3.0% 3.7% 5.3% 4.2% 5.2% 5.7% 5.9% 9.5% 10.6% 14.5% 17.7%
Stephan Baker 14.9% 10.7% 11.1% 12.6% 10.0% 8.3% 6.5% 6.6% 6.2% 4.4% 3.1% 2.2% 1.7% 0.7% 0.8% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Emil Tullberg 1.4% 1.4% 1.0% 0.9% 1.9% 1.6% 1.5% 1.5% 2.2% 2.4% 3.1% 3.6% 3.1% 4.2% 4.6% 6.7% 9.8% 16.3% 32.8%
Micky Munns 4.7% 3.7% 4.5% 4.2% 4.9% 4.8% 5.3% 5.3% 7.3% 6.2% 6.8% 5.3% 5.3% 6.5% 7.8% 6.8% 6.0% 2.9% 1.7%
Olin Guck 2.4% 2.1% 2.3% 1.9% 1.5% 1.8% 5.1% 2.4% 4.2% 2.4% 4.9% 4.6% 5.4% 5.4% 6.3% 7.6% 10.0% 13.0% 16.7%
Adrian Winkelman 3.9% 4.6% 4.5% 4.4% 5.6% 4.5% 6.4% 5.4% 5.7% 5.9% 5.5% 6.4% 6.7% 6.7% 6.3% 6.7% 4.8% 4.0% 2.0%
George Higham 4.1% 4.8% 4.8% 4.7% 5.5% 5.7% 5.0% 5.5% 6.4% 5.0% 4.8% 6.0% 6.6% 6.2% 6.2% 7.8% 5.1% 4.3% 1.5%
Sam Bonauto 5.8% 7.2% 7.4% 7.7% 6.3% 6.3% 7.3% 6.8% 7.5% 5.7% 5.3% 5.6% 5.9% 4.2% 4.0% 2.7% 2.9% 1.1% 0.3%
William George 3.0% 3.8% 4.2% 3.4% 3.4% 4.1% 4.9% 4.8% 4.2% 6.4% 5.9% 5.9% 6.6% 8.0% 6.4% 7.2% 7.3% 6.3% 4.2%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.