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📊 Prediction Accuracy
21.1%
Within 2 Positions
4.3
Avg Position Diff
19
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Harvard University2.75+6.07vs Predicted
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2Harvard University3.03+4.00vs Predicted
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3Brown University2.22+6.34vs Predicted
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4Northeastern University2.00+6.23vs Predicted
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5Tufts University2.08+5.16vs Predicted
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6U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.44+6.45vs Predicted
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7Tufts University1.90+3.77vs Predicted
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8Bowdoin College2.45+0.50vs Predicted
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9Yale University3.29-3.99vs Predicted
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10Roger Williams University2.38-1.54vs Predicted
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11University of Rhode Island1.15+2.76vs Predicted
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12Roger Williams University2.06-1.68vs Predicted
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13Boston University2.07-3.33vs Predicted
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14Yale University2.39-5.37vs Predicted
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15Boston College2.67-7.72vs Predicted
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16U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.59-4.18vs Predicted
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17Salve Regina University0.62-1.59vs Predicted
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18Fairfield University1.06-4.01vs Predicted
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19Brown University1.69-7.86vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.07Harvard University2.750.1%1st Place
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6.0Harvard University3.030.1%1st Place
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9.34Brown University2.220.1%1st Place
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10.23Northeastern University2.000.0%1st Place
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10.16Tufts University2.080.0%1st Place
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12.45U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.440.0%1st Place
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10.77Tufts University1.900.0%1st Place
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8.5Bowdoin College2.450.1%1st Place
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5.01Yale University3.290.2%1st Place
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8.46Roger Williams University2.380.1%1st Place
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13.76University of Rhode Island1.150.0%1st Place
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10.32Roger Williams University2.060.0%1st Place
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9.67Boston University2.070.0%1st Place
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8.63Yale University2.390.1%1st Place
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7.28Boston College2.670.1%1st Place
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11.82U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.590.0%1st Place
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15.41Salve Regina University0.620.0%1st Place
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13.99Fairfield University1.060.0%1st Place
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11.14Brown University1.690.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dylan Ascencios | 7.4% | 10.2% | 8.4% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.3% |
| Mitchell Callahan | 12.0% | 10.8% | 12.0% | 9.2% | 7.1% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 6.3% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Jed Bell | 5.3% | 6.5% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 2.6% | 1.4% |
| Adrian Winkelman | 3.0% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 2.2% |
| Bryan Trammell | 3.5% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 4.0% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 3.4% | 1.7% |
| Jack Derry | 2.5% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 3.7% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 9.1% | 12.0% | 9.6% |
| Shea Smith | 3.5% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 3.0% |
| Sam Bonauto | 6.0% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 0.5% |
| Stephan Baker | 17.2% | 12.1% | 12.7% | 10.2% | 10.2% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 3.2% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Oliver Stokke | 6.5% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 2.6% | 0.9% | 0.9% |
| Olin Guck | 1.8% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 2.7% | 2.0% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 4.8% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 12.9% | 13.8% | 14.5% |
| George Higham | 3.9% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 1.5% |
| Micky Munns | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 1.4% |
| Nathan Sih | 5.9% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 2.6% | 1.2% | 0.5% |
| Peter Joslin | 8.3% | 8.1% | 9.5% | 9.7% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Peter McGonagle | 2.6% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 6.2% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 7.1% | 5.1% | 7.0% | 8.6% | 7.7% | 8.3% | 8.9% | 5.4% |
| Emil Tullberg | 1.2% | 0.7% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 9.5% | 15.2% | 35.3% |
| Wilson Kaznoski | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 7.9% | 10.0% | 15.1% | 17.3% |
| William George | 3.6% | 2.6% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 7.7% | 5.0% | 4.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.