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📊 Prediction Accuracy
31.6%
Within 2 Positions
4.1
Avg Position Diff
19
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University2.09+8.48vs Predicted
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2Tufts University1.77+8.91vs Predicted
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3Roger Williams University2.30+5.63vs Predicted
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4Tufts University2.05+5.59vs Predicted
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5Brown University3.33-0.22vs Predicted
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6University of Rhode Island2.10+3.29vs Predicted
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7Boston University1.44+5.30vs Predicted
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8Roger Williams University3.10-2.41vs Predicted
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9Yale University1.79+1.53vs Predicted
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10Brown University2.31-1.64vs Predicted
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11Boston College2.25-2.34vs Predicted
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12Harvard University2.13-2.40vs Predicted
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13Salve Regina University1.31-0.35vs Predicted
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14U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.93-3.73vs Predicted
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15Northeastern University1.18-1.88vs Predicted
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16Fairfield University0.69-0.99vs Predicted
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17Bowdoin College1.57-5.33vs Predicted
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18U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.62-6.56vs Predicted
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19Harvard University2.29-10.88vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.48Yale University2.090.0%1st Place
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10.91Tufts University1.770.0%1st Place
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8.63Roger Williams University2.300.1%1st Place
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9.59Tufts University2.050.0%1st Place
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4.78Brown University3.330.1%1st Place
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9.29University of Rhode Island2.100.1%1st Place
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12.3Boston University1.440.0%1st Place
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5.59Roger Williams University3.100.1%1st Place
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10.53Yale University1.790.0%1st Place
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8.36Brown University2.310.1%1st Place
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8.66Boston College2.250.1%1st Place
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9.6Harvard University2.130.0%1st Place
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12.65Salve Regina University1.310.0%1st Place
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10.27U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.930.0%1st Place
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13.12Northeastern University1.180.0%1st Place
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15.01Fairfield University0.690.0%1st Place
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11.67Bowdoin College1.570.0%1st Place
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11.44U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.620.0%1st Place
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8.12Harvard University2.290.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sam Tobin | 3.8% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 1.6% |
| Jack Flores | 3.6% | 4.7% | 2.8% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 7.7% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 4.0% |
| Kyle Pfrang | 6.5% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 4.1% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 3.1% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 1.2% |
| John Eastman | 4.3% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 4.6% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 7.6% | 5.8% | 4.2% | 2.5% | 1.0% |
| Guthrie Braun | 14.8% | 14.1% | 13.9% | 13.6% | 8.9% | 8.2% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 3.7% | 2.4% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Tyler Nash | 6.2% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 4.6% | 2.8% | 2.4% |
| Tiare Sierra | 3.1% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 3.9% | 2.4% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 10.0% | 9.1% | 8.1% |
| Carlos de Castro | 14.2% | 11.2% | 10.9% | 11.6% | 7.7% | 8.9% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Alex Adams | 3.9% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 3.4% |
| Thomas Styron | 6.1% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 3.3% | 2.6% | 1.4% | 0.4% |
| Jack Redmond | 5.6% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 2.3% | 0.4% |
| Eric Hansen | 4.5% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 2.9% | 1.2% |
| Olivia Lowthian | 2.7% | 3.0% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 9.9% | 10.1% | 11.1% |
| Bradley Whiteway | 4.5% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 4.8% | 2.6% |
| Liam Lawless | 2.6% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 8.7% | 12.5% | 16.2% |
| Nolan Cooper | 1.1% | 0.7% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 9.0% | 13.1% | 33.1% |
| Ethan Danielson | 2.1% | 3.1% | 4.3% | 3.0% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 8.4% | 8.3% | 9.1% | 6.7% |
| Julia Conneely | 2.7% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 5.6% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 6.3% |
| Marbella Marlo | 7.7% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 0.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.