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📊 Prediction Accuracy
31.6%
Within 2 Positions
3.8
Avg Position Diff
19
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University2.05+8.64vs Predicted
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2Brown University3.33+2.76vs Predicted
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3U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.62+8.54vs Predicted
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4Yale University2.09+5.47vs Predicted
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5Harvard University2.13+4.44vs Predicted
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6Roger Williams University2.30+2.45vs Predicted
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7Brown University2.31+1.54vs Predicted
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8Roger Williams University3.10-2.39vs Predicted
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9Boston College2.25-0.44vs Predicted
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10Tufts University1.77+0.75vs Predicted
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11Yale University1.79-0.33vs Predicted
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12University of Rhode Island2.10-2.33vs Predicted
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13Boston University1.44-0.97vs Predicted
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14Fairfield University0.69+1.22vs Predicted
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15Harvard University2.29-6.57vs Predicted
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16Northeastern University1.18-2.74vs Predicted
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17Bowdoin College1.57-5.41vs Predicted
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18Salve Regina University1.31-5.35vs Predicted
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19U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.93-9.28vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.64Tufts University2.050.0%1st Place
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4.76Brown University3.330.2%1st Place
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11.54U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.620.0%1st Place
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9.47Yale University2.090.0%1st Place
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9.44Harvard University2.130.0%1st Place
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8.45Roger Williams University2.300.1%1st Place
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8.54Brown University2.310.1%1st Place
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5.61Roger Williams University3.100.1%1st Place
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8.56Boston College2.250.1%1st Place
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10.75Tufts University1.770.0%1st Place
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10.67Yale University1.790.0%1st Place
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9.67University of Rhode Island2.100.0%1st Place
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12.03Boston University1.440.0%1st Place
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15.22Fairfield University0.690.0%1st Place
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8.43Harvard University2.290.1%1st Place
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13.26Northeastern University1.180.0%1st Place
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11.59Bowdoin College1.570.0%1st Place
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12.65Salve Regina University1.310.0%1st Place
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9.72U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.930.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| John Eastman | 3.2% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 4.3% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 2.5% |
| Guthrie Braun | 17.5% | 14.5% | 13.7% | 9.4% | 10.1% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Julia Conneely | 3.2% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 8.6% | 7.9% | 6.7% |
| Sam Tobin | 4.2% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 2.1% | 1.2% |
| Eric Hansen | 4.3% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 1.3% |
| Kyle Pfrang | 6.9% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 1.1% |
| Thomas Styron | 6.1% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 2.7% | 1.7% | 0.8% |
| Carlos de Castro | 13.6% | 11.5% | 11.3% | 10.7% | 8.6% | 8.4% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 3.6% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Jack Redmond | 6.5% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 4.7% | 7.9% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 2.9% | 1.2% | 1.9% |
| Jack Flores | 4.0% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 8.7% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 2.9% |
| Alex Adams | 3.4% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 4.7% | 3.9% |
| Tyler Nash | 4.8% | 5.3% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 3.3% | 1.2% |
| Tiare Sierra | 3.0% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 8.8% | 7.6% | 9.8% | 7.6% |
| Nolan Cooper | 1.5% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 10.6% | 13.3% | 33.8% |
| Marbella Marlo | 6.3% | 7.8% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 8.9% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 1.1% |
| Liam Lawless | 1.7% | 1.6% | 3.2% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 8.4% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 13.6% | 14.2% |
| Ethan Danielson | 3.1% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 8.8% | 9.9% | 6.4% |
| Olivia Lowthian | 1.8% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 9.0% | 10.3% | 11.6% |
| Bradley Whiteway | 4.9% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 4.6% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 3.7% | 1.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.