← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
31.6%
Within 2 Positions
4.4
Avg Position Diff
19
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Brown University3.33+3.66vs Predicted
-
2Brown University2.31+6.52vs Predicted
-
3Roger Williams University2.30+5.65vs Predicted
-
4Fairfield University0.69+11.09vs Predicted
-
5Yale University2.09+4.69vs Predicted
-
6Harvard University2.29+2.47vs Predicted
-
7Tufts University1.77+3.85vs Predicted
-
8Boston College2.25+0.95vs Predicted
-
9University of Rhode Island2.10+0.21vs Predicted
-
10Tufts University2.05-0.53vs Predicted
-
11Bowdoin College1.57+0.66vs Predicted
-
12Northeastern University1.18+1.70vs Predicted
-
13U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.62-1.75vs Predicted
-
14U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.93-3.76vs Predicted
-
15Boston University1.44-2.95vs Predicted
-
16Roger Williams University3.10-10.70vs Predicted
-
17Harvard University2.13-7.80vs Predicted
-
18Salve Regina University1.31-5.30vs Predicted
-
19Yale University1.79-8.65vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
4.66Brown University3.330.2%1st Place
-
8.52Brown University2.310.1%1st Place
-
8.65Roger Williams University2.300.1%1st Place
-
15.09Fairfield University0.690.0%1st Place
-
9.69Yale University2.090.0%1st Place
-
8.47Harvard University2.290.1%1st Place
-
10.85Tufts University1.770.0%1st Place
-
8.95Boston College2.250.1%1st Place
-
9.21University of Rhode Island2.100.0%1st Place
-
9.47Tufts University2.050.0%1st Place
-
11.66Bowdoin College1.570.0%1st Place
-
13.7Northeastern University1.180.0%1st Place
-
11.25U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.620.0%1st Place
-
10.24U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.930.0%1st Place
-
12.05Boston University1.440.0%1st Place
-
5.3Roger Williams University3.100.1%1st Place
-
9.2Harvard University2.130.0%1st Place
-
12.7Salve Regina University1.310.0%1st Place
-
10.35Yale University1.790.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Guthrie Braun | 16.8% | 15.7% | 12.4% | 12.4% | 9.0% | 9.0% | 6.8% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Thomas Styron | 6.8% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 4.6% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 2.0% | 0.7% |
| Kyle Pfrang | 6.1% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 1.8% | 1.0% |
| Nolan Cooper | 0.3% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 2.1% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 10.3% | 15.2% | 32.5% |
| Sam Tobin | 4.1% | 3.5% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 3.4% | 1.9% |
| Marbella Marlo | 7.1% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 4.7% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 1.3% |
| Jack Flores | 4.0% | 3.1% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 3.1% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 5.9% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 5.1% | 3.3% |
| Jack Redmond | 6.7% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 1.0% |
| Tyler Nash | 4.9% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 3.1% | 1.8% |
| John Eastman | 4.9% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 1.1% |
| Ethan Danielson | 2.2% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 9.3% | 6.0% |
| Liam Lawless | 1.7% | 1.5% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 2.3% | 4.4% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 11.9% | 13.2% | 16.0% |
| Julia Conneely | 3.8% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 5.9% |
| Bradley Whiteway | 4.8% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 1.8% |
| Tiare Sierra | 2.8% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 8.0% | 10.0% | 9.8% | 9.2% |
| Carlos de Castro | 13.1% | 14.4% | 12.2% | 10.2% | 9.6% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 3.3% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Eric Hansen | 4.7% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 3.0% | 1.0% |
| Olivia Lowthian | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 6.5% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 8.3% | 8.4% | 9.3% | 12.6% |
| Alex Adams | 3.6% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 7.2% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 2.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.