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📊 Prediction Accuracy
5.3%
Within 2 Positions
5.3
Avg Position Diff
19
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston College2.25+7.69vs Predicted
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2Harvard University2.29+6.62vs Predicted
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3Roger Williams University2.30+5.65vs Predicted
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4Bowdoin College1.57+7.80vs Predicted
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5Harvard University2.13+4.57vs Predicted
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6Tufts University1.77+4.73vs Predicted
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7Tufts University2.05+2.71vs Predicted
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8Yale University2.09+1.73vs Predicted
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9Boston University1.44+2.95vs Predicted
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10Roger Williams University3.10-4.75vs Predicted
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11Northeastern University1.18+2.35vs Predicted
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12Fairfield University0.69+3.38vs Predicted
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13Brown University2.31-4.82vs Predicted
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14Brown University3.33-9.25vs Predicted
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15Salve Regina University1.31-2.38vs Predicted
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16University of Rhode Island2.10-6.73vs Predicted
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17Yale University1.79-6.24vs Predicted
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18U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.93-8.01vs Predicted
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19U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.62-7.98vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.69Boston College2.250.1%1st Place
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8.62Harvard University2.290.1%1st Place
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8.65Roger Williams University2.300.1%1st Place
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11.8Bowdoin College1.570.0%1st Place
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9.57Harvard University2.130.0%1st Place
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10.73Tufts University1.770.0%1st Place
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9.71Tufts University2.050.0%1st Place
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9.73Yale University2.090.1%1st Place
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11.95Boston University1.440.0%1st Place
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5.25Roger Williams University3.100.1%1st Place
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13.35Northeastern University1.180.0%1st Place
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15.38Fairfield University0.690.0%1st Place
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8.18Brown University2.310.1%1st Place
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4.75Brown University3.330.2%1st Place
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12.62Salve Regina University1.310.0%1st Place
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9.27University of Rhode Island2.100.0%1st Place
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10.76Yale University1.790.0%1st Place
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9.99U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.930.0%1st Place
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11.02U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.620.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jack Redmond | 5.2% | 7.5% | 5.1% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 3.8% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 6.4% | 4.1% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 2.2% | 0.8% |
| Marbella Marlo | 6.6% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 8.0% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 3.7% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 1.8% | 0.8% |
| Kyle Pfrang | 6.4% | 7.9% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 3.3% | 6.1% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 2.2% | 0.9% |
| Ethan Danielson | 2.3% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 9.5% | 7.9% | 9.1% | 7.5% | 5.4% |
| Eric Hansen | 3.5% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 2.9% | 1.4% |
| Jack Flores | 4.4% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 5.2% |
| John Eastman | 4.6% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 8.2% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 3.6% | 1.4% |
| Sam Tobin | 5.5% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 2.9% | 2.1% |
| Tiare Sierra | 3.2% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 9.5% | 7.9% |
| Carlos de Castro | 14.9% | 10.8% | 12.8% | 10.5% | 9.4% | 9.6% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Liam Lawless | 1.9% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 2.4% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 6.6% | 4.8% | 6.5% | 9.2% | 9.6% | 13.1% | 13.8% |
| Nolan Cooper | 1.1% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 6.3% | 9.1% | 15.5% | 35.0% |
| Thomas Styron | 6.3% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 2.3% | 3.3% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 0.5% |
| Guthrie Braun | 17.1% | 13.2% | 12.9% | 13.0% | 9.6% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 3.3% | 2.6% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Olivia Lowthian | 2.0% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 8.5% | 12.4% | 12.7% |
| Tyler Nash | 4.3% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 3.0% | 1.3% |
| Alex Adams | 3.6% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 3.9% |
| Bradley Whiteway | 3.7% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 6.8% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 2.1% |
| Julia Conneely | 3.4% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 3.7% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 4.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.