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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.9
Avg Position Diff
6
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Dartmouth College1.71+1.22vs Predicted
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2Bowdoin College0.05+1.29vs Predicted
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3Boston College1.56-0.30vs Predicted
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4Tufts University1.08-1.00vs Predicted
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5Harvard University-0.84+0.23vs Predicted
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6Massachusetts Institute of Technology-0.18-1.42vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.22Dartmouth College1.7136.8%1st Place
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3.29Bowdoin College0.0514.8%1st Place
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2.7Boston College1.5622.7%1st Place
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3.0Tufts University1.0818.4%1st Place
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5.23Harvard University-0.841.9%1st Place
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4.58Massachusetts Institute of Technology-0.185.5%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| bella casaretto | 36.8% | 25.8% | 21.3% | 11.7% | 4.0% | 0.4% |
| Benjamin Stevens | 14.8% | 17.9% | 19.1% | 26.1% | 16.4% | 5.8% |
| Nick Budington | 22.7% | 24.9% | 24.8% | 17.7% | 8.2% | 1.8% |
| Oliver Keeves | 18.4% | 21.3% | 21.8% | 22.5% | 12.8% | 3.1% |
| Christina Chen | 1.9% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 8.5% | 21.8% | 59.6% |
| Lucas Escandon | 5.5% | 6.5% | 8.5% | 13.6% | 36.8% | 29.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.