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📊 Prediction Accuracy
10.5%
Within 2 Positions
4.4
Avg Position Diff
19
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Roger Williams University2.30+7.60vs Predicted
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2Tufts University2.05+7.62vs Predicted
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3Roger Williams University3.10+2.48vs Predicted
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4Yale University1.79+6.78vs Predicted
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5Boston University1.44+7.57vs Predicted
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6University of Rhode Island2.10+3.27vs Predicted
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7Brown University3.33-2.36vs Predicted
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8Bowdoin College1.57+3.94vs Predicted
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9Brown University2.31-0.71vs Predicted
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10Boston College2.25-1.40vs Predicted
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11Northeastern University1.18+2.33vs Predicted
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12Yale University2.09-2.20vs Predicted
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13Harvard University2.13-4.11vs Predicted
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14U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.62-2.45vs Predicted
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15Harvard University2.29-6.51vs Predicted
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16U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.93-6.01vs Predicted
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17Tufts University1.77-6.26vs Predicted
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18Salve Regina University1.31-5.32vs Predicted
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19Fairfield University0.69-4.27vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.6Roger Williams University2.300.0%1st Place
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9.62Tufts University2.050.1%1st Place
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5.48Roger Williams University3.100.2%1st Place
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10.78Yale University1.790.0%1st Place
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12.57Boston University1.440.0%1st Place
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9.27University of Rhode Island2.100.1%1st Place
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4.64Brown University3.330.2%1st Place
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11.94Bowdoin College1.570.0%1st Place
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8.29Brown University2.310.1%1st Place
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8.6Boston College2.250.1%1st Place
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13.33Northeastern University1.180.0%1st Place
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9.8Yale University2.090.0%1st Place
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8.89Harvard University2.130.1%1st Place
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11.55U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.620.0%1st Place
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8.49Harvard University2.290.1%1st Place
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9.99U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.930.0%1st Place
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10.74Tufts University1.770.0%1st Place
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12.68Salve Regina University1.310.0%1st Place
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14.73Fairfield University0.690.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kyle Pfrang | 4.4% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 2.7% | 1.7% | 1.3% |
| John Eastman | 5.0% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 7.4% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 3.4% | 2.2% |
| Carlos de Castro | 15.2% | 11.9% | 9.7% | 10.4% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 2.6% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alex Adams | 3.4% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 3.6% |
| Tiare Sierra | 2.1% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 3.5% | 2.4% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 8.9% | 7.6% | 10.9% | 9.9% |
| Tyler Nash | 6.0% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 4.6% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 3.6% | 3.7% | 2.1% |
| Guthrie Braun | 15.3% | 16.8% | 13.5% | 9.8% | 11.1% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 5.1% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Ethan Danielson | 2.8% | 4.0% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 9.5% | 8.7% | 8.5% | 8.0% |
| Thomas Styron | 7.1% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 2.9% | 4.1% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 1.2% |
| Jack Redmond | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 7.9% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 1.1% |
| Liam Lawless | 2.0% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 10.6% | 11.1% | 15.1% |
| Sam Tobin | 4.6% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 7.7% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 1.0% |
| Eric Hansen | 6.3% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 2.0% | 1.3% |
| Julia Conneely | 3.5% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 3.2% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 4.9% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 8.7% | 6.5% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 5.2% |
| Marbella Marlo | 6.4% | 6.0% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 0.7% |
| Bradley Whiteway | 3.7% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 8.1% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 3.6% | 2.7% |
| Jack Flores | 3.2% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 8.4% | 5.2% | 4.3% |
| Olivia Lowthian | 1.8% | 1.5% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 9.3% | 11.0% | 11.3% |
| Nolan Cooper | 1.4% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 8.4% | 14.3% | 29.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.