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📊 Prediction Accuracy
36.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.8
Avg Position Diff
19
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University3.33+3.69vs Predicted
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2Yale University2.09+7.50vs Predicted
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3Bowdoin College1.57+8.77vs Predicted
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4Roger Williams University2.30+4.52vs Predicted
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5Tufts University1.77+6.14vs Predicted
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6Roger Williams University3.10-0.61vs Predicted
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7Harvard University2.29+1.56vs Predicted
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8Harvard University2.13+1.45vs Predicted
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9Tufts University2.05+0.46vs Predicted
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10Boston College2.25-1.46vs Predicted
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11Northeastern University1.18+2.31vs Predicted
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12University of Rhode Island2.10-2.33vs Predicted
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13Boston University1.44-0.96vs Predicted
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14U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.62-2.33vs Predicted
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15Fairfield University0.69-0.15vs Predicted
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16Salve Regina University1.31-3.29vs Predicted
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17Brown University2.31-8.51vs Predicted
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18U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.93-8.02vs Predicted
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19Yale University1.79-8.73vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.69Brown University3.330.2%1st Place
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9.5Yale University2.090.1%1st Place
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11.77Bowdoin College1.570.0%1st Place
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8.52Roger Williams University2.300.1%1st Place
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11.14Tufts University1.770.0%1st Place
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5.39Roger Williams University3.100.2%1st Place
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8.56Harvard University2.290.1%1st Place
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9.45Harvard University2.130.1%1st Place
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9.46Tufts University2.050.0%1st Place
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8.54Boston College2.250.1%1st Place
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13.31Northeastern University1.180.0%1st Place
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9.67University of Rhode Island2.100.0%1st Place
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12.04Boston University1.440.0%1st Place
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11.67U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.620.0%1st Place
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14.85Fairfield University0.690.0%1st Place
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12.71Salve Regina University1.310.0%1st Place
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8.49Brown University2.310.1%1st Place
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9.98U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.930.0%1st Place
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10.27Yale University1.790.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Guthrie Braun | 15.6% | 17.0% | 11.7% | 11.9% | 11.4% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 3.5% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Sam Tobin | 5.5% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 1.6% |
| Ethan Danielson | 3.0% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 4.4% | 2.7% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 3.3% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 9.1% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 8.3% |
| Kyle Pfrang | 5.5% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 4.3% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 1.4% | 0.4% |
| Jack Flores | 2.5% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 4.8% | 8.8% | 4.0% |
| Carlos de Castro | 15.3% | 11.6% | 11.5% | 12.5% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 3.1% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Marbella Marlo | 6.3% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 0.9% |
| Eric Hansen | 5.9% | 3.9% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 6.8% | 4.2% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 1.7% |
| John Eastman | 4.6% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 1.9% |
| Jack Redmond | 5.4% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 0.7% |
| Liam Lawless | 1.9% | 1.9% | 3.1% | 1.3% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 11.3% | 11.6% | 14.4% |
| Tyler Nash | 4.7% | 4.2% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 3.2% | 1.6% |
| Tiare Sierra | 3.0% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 5.6% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 8.7% | 8.8% |
| Julia Conneely | 3.5% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 9.8% | 8.2% | 6.0% |
| Nolan Cooper | 1.4% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 3.1% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 14.0% | 33.2% |
| Olivia Lowthian | 1.8% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 11.1% | 11.3% | 10.4% |
| Thomas Styron | 5.6% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 1.5% | 0.7% |
| Bradley Whiteway | 4.2% | 3.6% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 3.9% | 2.3% |
| Alex Adams | 4.3% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 3.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.