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📊 Prediction Accuracy
26.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
19
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University3.33+3.62vs Predicted
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2Harvard University2.13+7.32vs Predicted
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3Roger Williams University3.10+2.43vs Predicted
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4Roger Williams University2.30+4.56vs Predicted
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5Brown University2.31+3.71vs Predicted
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6Tufts University1.77+4.74vs Predicted
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7Boston College2.25+1.75vs Predicted
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8Tufts University2.05+1.90vs Predicted
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9Yale University1.79+1.58vs Predicted
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10Bowdoin College1.57+1.66vs Predicted
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11Harvard University2.29-2.47vs Predicted
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12U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.93-1.48vs Predicted
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13University of Rhode Island2.10-3.86vs Predicted
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14Yale University2.09-4.47vs Predicted
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15U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.62-3.67vs Predicted
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16Boston University1.44-3.86vs Predicted
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17Fairfield University0.69-2.01vs Predicted
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18Northeastern University1.18-4.75vs Predicted
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19Salve Regina University1.31-6.71vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.62Brown University3.330.2%1st Place
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9.32Harvard University2.130.1%1st Place
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5.43Roger Williams University3.100.1%1st Place
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8.56Roger Williams University2.300.1%1st Place
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8.71Brown University2.310.1%1st Place
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10.74Tufts University1.770.0%1st Place
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8.75Boston College2.250.1%1st Place
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9.9Tufts University2.050.1%1st Place
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10.58Yale University1.790.0%1st Place
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11.66Bowdoin College1.570.0%1st Place
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8.53Harvard University2.290.1%1st Place
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10.52U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.930.0%1st Place
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9.14University of Rhode Island2.100.1%1st Place
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9.53Yale University2.090.1%1st Place
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11.33U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.620.0%1st Place
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12.14Boston University1.440.0%1st Place
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14.99Fairfield University0.690.0%1st Place
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13.25Northeastern University1.180.0%1st Place
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12.29Salve Regina University1.310.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Guthrie Braun | 16.3% | 15.9% | 13.1% | 12.3% | 9.7% | 8.9% | 5.9% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Eric Hansen | 5.1% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 3.3% | 1.0% |
| Carlos de Castro | 14.2% | 13.7% | 10.3% | 9.7% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 4.8% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Kyle Pfrang | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 7.1% | 5.3% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 2.8% | 1.1% | 0.8% |
| Thomas Styron | 5.0% | 4.7% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 7.3% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 3.3% | 1.5% | 0.8% |
| Jack Flores | 4.4% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 4.3% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 5.1% |
| Jack Redmond | 5.7% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 4.4% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 2.6% | 1.5% | 1.2% |
| John Eastman | 5.4% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 2.6% |
| Alex Adams | 3.5% | 5.0% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 6.4% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 4.0% |
| Ethan Danielson | 3.7% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 8.2% | 9.6% | 5.6% |
| Marbella Marlo | 5.3% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 0.7% |
| Bradley Whiteway | 3.0% | 5.3% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 8.4% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 3.2% |
| Tyler Nash | 5.8% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 5.5% | 3.6% | 2.7% | 1.2% |
| Sam Tobin | 5.3% | 3.8% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 1.4% |
| Julia Conneely | 3.3% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 3.7% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 9.0% | 7.9% | 7.1% |
| Tiare Sierra | 2.3% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 10.3% | 8.2% |
| Nolan Cooper | 1.4% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 8.7% | 12.8% | 33.9% |
| Liam Lawless | 1.6% | 1.5% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 3.8% | 2.7% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 7.7% | 6.0% | 10.0% | 12.5% | 14.2% |
| Olivia Lowthian | 2.7% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 8.6% | 8.9% | 10.3% | 9.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.