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📊 Prediction Accuracy
36.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.8
Avg Position Diff
19
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Roger Williams University3.10+4.16vs Predicted
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2Roger Williams University2.30+6.35vs Predicted
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3Brown University2.31+5.28vs Predicted
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4Boston College2.25+4.43vs Predicted
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5Yale University2.09+4.44vs Predicted
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6Bowdoin College1.57+5.39vs Predicted
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7Tufts University1.77+3.65vs Predicted
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8Harvard University2.29+0.57vs Predicted
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9Harvard University2.13-0.20vs Predicted
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10Boston University1.44+2.00vs Predicted
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11Tufts University2.05-1.61vs Predicted
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12Yale University1.79-1.05vs Predicted
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13Salve Regina University1.31-0.62vs Predicted
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14Brown University2.29-5.58vs Predicted
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15Fairfield University0.69-0.27vs Predicted
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16U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.62-4.83vs Predicted
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17Northeastern University1.09-3.54vs Predicted
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18U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.93-8.24vs Predicted
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19University of Rhode Island2.10-10.33vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.16Roger Williams University3.100.1%1st Place
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8.35Roger Williams University2.300.1%1st Place
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8.28Brown University2.310.1%1st Place
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8.43Boston College2.250.1%1st Place
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9.44Yale University2.090.0%1st Place
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11.39Bowdoin College1.570.0%1st Place
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10.65Tufts University1.770.0%1st Place
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8.57Harvard University2.290.1%1st Place
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8.8Harvard University2.130.1%1st Place
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12.0Boston University1.440.0%1st Place
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9.39Tufts University2.050.0%1st Place
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10.95Yale University1.790.0%1st Place
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12.38Salve Regina University1.310.0%1st Place
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8.42Brown University2.290.1%1st Place
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14.73Fairfield University0.690.0%1st Place
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11.17U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.620.0%1st Place
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13.46Northeastern University1.090.0%1st Place
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9.76U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.930.0%1st Place
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8.67University of Rhode Island2.100.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Carlos de Castro | 14.7% | 14.6% | 11.1% | 11.6% | 9.7% | 8.3% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 4.1% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Kyle Pfrang | 7.0% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 0.7% |
| Thomas Styron | 6.9% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 8.3% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 1.0% |
| Jack Redmond | 6.4% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 1.4% | 1.0% |
| Sam Tobin | 4.5% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 4.4% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 2.8% | 1.5% |
| Ethan Danielson | 3.9% | 3.2% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 8.5% | 8.3% | 8.0% |
| Jack Flores | 3.8% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 4.1% |
| Marbella Marlo | 7.5% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 7.2% | 4.4% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 0.9% |
| Eric Hansen | 5.7% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 2.3% | 1.3% |
| Tiare Sierra | 3.3% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 3.9% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 9.3% | 9.1% | 7.6% |
| John Eastman | 4.5% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 7.7% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 3.7% | 1.5% |
| Alex Adams | 4.1% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 3.9% |
| Olivia Lowthian | 3.0% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 5.1% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 8.5% | 8.4% | 11.0% | 9.8% |
| Leyton Borcherding | 7.1% | 5.0% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 0.5% |
| Nolan Cooper | 1.1% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 8.7% | 13.1% | 31.7% |
| Julia Conneely | 3.4% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 5.3% |
| Peter Taboada | 2.0% | 1.5% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 10.9% | 13.6% | 17.6% |
| Bradley Whiteway | 4.3% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 3.9% | 2.4% |
| Tyler Nash | 6.8% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 1.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.