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📊 Prediction Accuracy
21.1%
Within 2 Positions
4.1
Avg Position Diff
19
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Roger Williams University3.10+4.11vs Predicted
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2Roger Williams University2.30+6.33vs Predicted
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3Boston College2.25+5.57vs Predicted
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4Harvard University2.13+4.96vs Predicted
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5Fairfield University0.69+10.25vs Predicted
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6Harvard University2.29+2.27vs Predicted
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7U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.93+2.95vs Predicted
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8Brown University2.29+0.55vs Predicted
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9Bowdoin College1.57+2.28vs Predicted
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10Yale University2.09-0.93vs Predicted
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11Tufts University2.05-1.68vs Predicted
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12Brown University2.31-3.46vs Predicted
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13Boston University1.44-1.16vs Predicted
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14Tufts University1.77-3.32vs Predicted
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15University of Rhode Island2.10-5.97vs Predicted
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16Northeastern University1.09-2.49vs Predicted
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17Salve Regina University1.31-4.42vs Predicted
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18U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.62-6.87vs Predicted
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19Yale University1.79-8.97vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.11Roger Williams University3.100.1%1st Place
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8.33Roger Williams University2.300.1%1st Place
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8.57Boston College2.250.1%1st Place
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8.96Harvard University2.130.1%1st Place
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15.25Fairfield University0.690.0%1st Place
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8.27Harvard University2.290.1%1st Place
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9.95U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.930.0%1st Place
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8.55Brown University2.290.1%1st Place
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11.28Bowdoin College1.570.0%1st Place
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9.07Yale University2.090.1%1st Place
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9.32Tufts University2.050.0%1st Place
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8.54Brown University2.310.1%1st Place
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11.84Boston University1.440.0%1st Place
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10.68Tufts University1.770.1%1st Place
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9.03University of Rhode Island2.100.1%1st Place
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13.51Northeastern University1.090.0%1st Place
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12.58Salve Regina University1.310.0%1st Place
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11.13U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.620.0%1st Place
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10.03Yale University1.790.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Carlos de Castro | 14.6% | 14.3% | 12.6% | 10.8% | 9.1% | 9.3% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Kyle Pfrang | 6.9% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 3.0% | 1.5% | 0.8% |
| Jack Redmond | 6.8% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 4.7% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 1.1% |
| Eric Hansen | 5.5% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 2.3% | 0.6% |
| Nolan Cooper | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 1.8% | 0.6% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 3.3% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 7.0% | 10.2% | 12.6% | 34.9% |
| Marbella Marlo | 8.0% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 0.8% |
| Bradley Whiteway | 4.2% | 4.3% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 2.5% |
| Leyton Borcherding | 7.4% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 7.6% | 5.7% | 7.5% | 4.1% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 1.2% |
| Ethan Danielson | 3.2% | 4.2% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 5.7% |
| Sam Tobin | 5.5% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 3.5% | 2.6% | 0.9% |
| John Eastman | 4.6% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 4.7% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 3.3% | 1.4% |
| Thomas Styron | 6.7% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 3.6% | 2.8% | 2.0% | 0.9% |
| Tiare Sierra | 3.2% | 3.8% | 2.4% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 9.3% | 9.3% | 7.1% |
| Jack Flores | 5.1% | 2.8% | 4.8% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 7.0% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 4.3% |
| Tyler Nash | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 1.5% |
| Peter Taboada | 1.7% | 1.4% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 2.6% | 3.8% | 2.4% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 10.0% | 14.3% | 15.9% |
| Olivia Lowthian | 2.0% | 2.4% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 12.0% | 11.6% |
| Julia Conneely | 3.0% | 2.6% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 5.3% |
| Alex Adams | 4.7% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 3.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.