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📊 Prediction Accuracy
21.1%
Within 2 Positions
4.6
Avg Position Diff
19
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University2.29+7.36vs Predicted
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2Northeastern University1.09+11.52vs Predicted
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3Yale University2.09+6.28vs Predicted
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4Harvard University2.13+4.97vs Predicted
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5Boston College2.25+3.73vs Predicted
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6Brown University2.31+2.24vs Predicted
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7Yale University1.79+3.58vs Predicted
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8Roger Williams University2.30+0.55vs Predicted
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9Roger Williams University3.10-3.94vs Predicted
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10University of Rhode Island2.10-1.01vs Predicted
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11Tufts University2.05-1.69vs Predicted
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12Fairfield University0.69+3.30vs Predicted
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13Bowdoin College1.57-1.73vs Predicted
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14Tufts University1.77-3.32vs Predicted
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15Boston University1.44-3.15vs Predicted
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16U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.93-6.25vs Predicted
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17Salve Regina University1.31-4.45vs Predicted
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18U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.62-6.86vs Predicted
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19Harvard University2.29-11.14vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.36Brown University2.290.1%1st Place
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13.52Northeastern University1.090.0%1st Place
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9.28Yale University2.090.1%1st Place
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8.97Harvard University2.130.1%1st Place
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8.73Boston College2.250.1%1st Place
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8.24Brown University2.310.1%1st Place
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10.58Yale University1.790.0%1st Place
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8.55Roger Williams University2.300.1%1st Place
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5.06Roger Williams University3.100.2%1st Place
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8.99University of Rhode Island2.100.1%1st Place
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9.31Tufts University2.050.1%1st Place
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15.3Fairfield University0.690.0%1st Place
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11.27Bowdoin College1.570.0%1st Place
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10.68Tufts University1.770.0%1st Place
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11.85Boston University1.440.0%1st Place
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9.75U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.930.0%1st Place
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12.55Salve Regina University1.310.0%1st Place
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11.14U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.620.0%1st Place
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7.86Harvard University2.290.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Leyton Borcherding | 5.1% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 0.8% |
| Peter Taboada | 2.5% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 3.3% | 2.4% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 10.2% | 13.7% | 16.9% |
| Sam Tobin | 6.4% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 6.4% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 1.9% |
| Eric Hansen | 5.4% | 7.2% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 3.6% | 1.8% | 1.1% |
| Jack Redmond | 5.5% | 5.1% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 2.1% | 0.6% |
| Thomas Styron | 7.9% | 6.1% | 8.8% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 2.0% | 1.1% |
| Alex Adams | 4.1% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 4.1% | 6.0% | 4.1% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 3.0% |
| Kyle Pfrang | 6.3% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 0.8% |
| Carlos de Castro | 16.9% | 13.5% | 11.9% | 11.7% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 4.4% | 2.7% | 3.7% | 2.3% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Tyler Nash | 5.7% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 1.5% | 1.6% |
| John Eastman | 5.5% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 7.2% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 1.2% |
| Nolan Cooper | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 3.1% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 11.3% | 14.6% | 33.9% |
| Ethan Danielson | 3.4% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 5.6% |
| Jack Flores | 4.3% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 3.8% |
| Tiare Sierra | 3.3% | 3.5% | 2.3% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 3.7% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 9.7% | 9.4% |
| Bradley Whiteway | 4.7% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 7.6% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 1.6% |
| Olivia Lowthian | 1.7% | 3.1% | 2.2% | 3.2% | 4.9% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 9.4% | 11.0% | 11.3% |
| Julia Conneely | 2.4% | 3.3% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 5.1% |
| Marbella Marlo | 8.0% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 6.3% | 8.3% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 0.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.