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📊 Prediction Accuracy
15.8%
Within 2 Positions
4.8
Avg Position Diff
19
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University2.31+7.25vs Predicted
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2Tufts University1.77+8.66vs Predicted
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3Brown University2.29+5.43vs Predicted
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4Boston University1.44+8.08vs Predicted
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5Boston College2.25+3.79vs Predicted
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6Tufts University2.05+3.36vs Predicted
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7Yale University1.79+3.55vs Predicted
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8Roger Williams University3.10-2.67vs Predicted
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9Fairfield University0.69+5.68vs Predicted
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10Yale University2.09-0.90vs Predicted
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11Harvard University2.13-2.04vs Predicted
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12U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.62-0.32vs Predicted
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13Roger Williams University2.30-5.01vs Predicted
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14Bowdoin College1.57-2.41vs Predicted
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15Northeastern University1.09-1.70vs Predicted
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16University of Rhode Island2.10-7.06vs Predicted
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17U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.93-7.10vs Predicted
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18Salve Regina University1.31-5.46vs Predicted
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19Harvard University2.29-11.12vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.25Brown University2.310.1%1st Place
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10.66Tufts University1.770.0%1st Place
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8.43Brown University2.290.1%1st Place
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12.08Boston University1.440.0%1st Place
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8.79Boston College2.250.1%1st Place
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9.36Tufts University2.050.1%1st Place
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10.55Yale University1.790.0%1st Place
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5.33Roger Williams University3.100.2%1st Place
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14.68Fairfield University0.690.0%1st Place
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9.1Yale University2.090.1%1st Place
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8.96Harvard University2.130.1%1st Place
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11.68U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.620.0%1st Place
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7.99Roger Williams University2.300.1%1st Place
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11.59Bowdoin College1.570.0%1st Place
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13.3Northeastern University1.090.0%1st Place
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8.94University of Rhode Island2.100.1%1st Place
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9.9U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.930.0%1st Place
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12.54Salve Regina University1.310.0%1st Place
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7.88Harvard University2.290.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Thomas Styron | 5.9% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 8.1% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 2.9% | 1.3% | 1.0% |
| Jack Flores | 4.1% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 3.4% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 3.2% |
| Leyton Borcherding | 7.1% | 8.1% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 3.3% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 1.3% |
| Tiare Sierra | 2.2% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 9.1% | 10.0% | 9.2% | 6.9% |
| Jack Redmond | 5.1% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 2.8% | 2.3% | 1.1% |
| John Eastman | 6.9% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 4.2% | 7.1% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 6.6% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 2.9% |
| Alex Adams | 4.1% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 4.9% | 3.0% |
| Carlos de Castro | 15.3% | 12.4% | 11.9% | 10.4% | 9.0% | 9.1% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 3.4% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nolan Cooper | 1.5% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 8.3% | 13.8% | 31.2% |
| Sam Tobin | 5.3% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 1.8% | 1.4% |
| Eric Hansen | 5.6% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 1.5% |
| Julia Conneely | 3.6% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 8.5% | 7.1% | 9.4% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 5.7% |
| Kyle Pfrang | 7.3% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 8.0% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 0.7% |
| Ethan Danielson | 4.0% | 3.2% | 1.9% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 8.4% | 6.4% | 8.6% | 6.7% |
| Peter Taboada | 2.7% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 10.1% | 12.4% | 18.1% |
| Tyler Nash | 5.3% | 5.5% | 7.1% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 7.7% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 2.1% | 1.3% |
| Bradley Whiteway | 4.3% | 4.4% | 7.3% | 4.4% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 1.9% |
| Olivia Lowthian | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 2.3% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 9.8% | 9.8% | 11.5% |
| Marbella Marlo | 7.8% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 8.6% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 7.4% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 2.4% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 0.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.