Race 1A

mrs-hurst-bowl

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

31.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Mia Nicolosi 17.2% 15.7% 13.8% 12.8% 9.7% 6.9% 5.6% 5.2% 5.0% 3.0% 2.2% 1.5% 0.3% 0.8% 0.2% 0.1%
Emily Bornarth 8.8% 9.8% 8.4% 9.3% 7.9% 6.3% 8.2% 7.7% 6.2% 6.5% 6.8% 4.4% 4.2% 2.9% 1.8% 0.8%
Taylor Eastman 6.5% 5.2% 5.5% 6.2% 6.5% 6.7% 7.3% 6.7% 7.6% 7.6% 9.4% 6.7% 6.6% 5.5% 4.1% 1.9%
Gray Hemans 5.6% 9.1% 9.0% 6.6% 7.0% 7.9% 8.7% 7.0% 7.3% 6.8% 5.8% 7.0% 4.5% 4.0% 2.1% 1.6%
Carmen Cowles 11.2% 11.4% 9.4% 12.2% 8.8% 7.9% 8.2% 7.6% 5.7% 5.2% 5.6% 2.9% 1.7% 1.5% 0.4% 0.3%
Ellie Maus 5.4% 4.2% 7.0% 6.0% 7.9% 7.3% 5.9% 7.5% 6.4% 7.6% 6.2% 6.6% 7.8% 6.5% 4.5% 3.2%
Sarah Burn 8.0% 7.4% 6.9% 6.4% 6.7% 9.4% 6.5% 8.3% 8.0% 6.6% 6.6% 5.9% 5.8% 3.7% 2.6% 1.2%
Brooke Schmelz 5.8% 7.4% 7.3% 6.1% 6.3% 7.2% 7.7% 7.3% 7.2% 7.3% 7.6% 7.1% 6.2% 4.3% 3.7% 1.5%
Caroline Bayless 7.8% 8.5% 8.5% 9.4% 8.2% 8.0% 8.1% 6.7% 7.8% 7.0% 5.2% 4.2% 4.2% 3.3% 1.4% 1.7%
Aili Moffet 2.3% 2.8% 2.9% 2.5% 2.2% 3.4% 2.9% 4.5% 3.2% 5.8% 5.0% 7.4% 9.3% 10.9% 16.3% 18.6%
Haley Andreasen 2.9% 3.7% 2.6% 3.1% 4.1% 4.7% 4.0% 3.6% 4.8% 5.7% 6.4% 6.3% 8.5% 11.7% 13.3% 14.6%
Emily Mueller 4.8% 4.2% 5.0% 5.0% 7.1% 6.4% 5.9% 5.9% 7.1% 6.9% 6.7% 7.4% 7.6% 7.9% 7.3% 4.8%
Samantha Jensen 2.0% 1.4% 1.8% 3.3% 3.1% 3.6% 3.3% 3.5% 4.6% 4.9% 5.8% 6.6% 8.4% 10.6% 13.5% 23.6%
Lourdes Gallo 3.3% 2.9% 2.3% 3.3% 3.9% 3.8% 5.3% 5.4% 5.2% 5.2% 7.7% 7.9% 9.1% 9.9% 11.6% 13.2%
Lucia Loosbrock 3.6% 2.6% 3.3% 3.3% 4.4% 5.3% 5.2% 5.5% 6.2% 5.9% 6.8% 9.2% 9.4% 8.6% 11.5% 9.2%
Grace Gear 4.8% 3.7% 6.3% 4.5% 6.2% 5.2% 7.2% 7.6% 7.7% 8.0% 6.2% 8.9% 6.4% 7.9% 5.7% 3.7%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.