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📊 Prediction Accuracy
31.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.8
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University2.41+5.80vs Predicted
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2Yale University3.12+2.58vs Predicted
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3Harvard University2.30+4.31vs Predicted
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4Yale University2.75+1.87vs Predicted
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5Boston College1.33+5.91vs Predicted
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6Bowdoin College2.03+2.38vs Predicted
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7Dartmouth College2.33+0.28vs Predicted
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8Connecticut College1.11+3.38vs Predicted
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10Northeastern University1.52+0.11vs Predicted
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11Tufts University1.30+0.01vs Predicted
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12Tufts University1.02-0.25vs Predicted
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13Brown University1.83-3.97vs Predicted
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14Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.12-6.14vs Predicted
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15U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.45-8.39vs Predicted
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16Dartmouth College2.07-7.76vs Predicted
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17University of Vermont1.89-8.11vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.8Brown University2.410.1%1st Place
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4.58Yale University3.120.2%1st Place
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7.31Harvard University2.300.1%1st Place
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5.87Yale University2.750.1%1st Place
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10.91Boston College1.330.0%1st Place
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8.38Bowdoin College2.030.0%1st Place
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7.28Dartmouth College2.330.1%1st Place
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11.38Connecticut College1.110.0%1st Place
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10.11Northeastern University1.520.0%1st Place
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11.01Tufts University1.300.0%1st Place
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11.75Tufts University1.020.0%1st Place
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9.03Brown University1.830.1%1st Place
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7.86Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.120.0%1st Place
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6.61U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.450.1%1st Place
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8.24Dartmouth College2.070.1%1st Place
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8.89University of Vermont1.890.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Caroline Bayless | 8.3% | 8.7% | 8.4% | 9.4% | 7.6% | 8.4% | 7.9% | 6.4% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 3.3% | 2.0% | 0.9% |
| Mia Nicolosi | 18.0% | 15.8% | 12.4% | 10.4% | 10.8% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 3.6% | 2.2% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Sarah Burn | 7.1% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 1.3% |
| Carmen Cowles | 10.6% | 11.4% | 10.2% | 10.5% | 8.0% | 9.5% | 8.5% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.5% |
| Lourdes Gallo | 2.7% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 5.8% | 3.9% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 9.9% | 10.6% | 13.7% | 13.0% |
| Ellie Maus | 4.8% | 4.9% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 5.1% | 2.7% |
| Gray Hemans | 8.1% | 8.5% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 8.8% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 4.9% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 1.1% |
| Aili Moffet | 2.4% | 2.0% | 3.7% | 2.4% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 10.2% | 14.1% | 19.2% |
| Lucia Loosbrock | 3.3% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 9.3% | 9.5% | 7.5% | 8.8% | 10.4% |
| Haley Andreasen | 3.0% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 9.5% | 8.2% | 12.9% | 11.9% | 14.2% |
| Samantha Jensen | 3.4% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 2.8% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 9.6% | 14.9% | 23.7% |
| Emily Mueller | 5.1% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 7.9% | 6.1% | 8.6% | 7.9% | 6.4% | 5.8% |
| Brooke Schmelz | 4.9% | 7.1% | 8.4% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 3.8% | 1.7% |
| Emily Bornarth | 8.1% | 8.4% | 9.7% | 8.2% | 9.7% | 9.7% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 1.7% | 0.6% |
| Taylor Eastman | 6.0% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 4.2% | 1.6% |
| Grace Gear | 4.2% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 3.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.