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📊 Prediction Accuracy
11.1%
Within 2 Positions
4.9
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University3.15+4.52vs Predicted
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2University of Texas1.01+11.66vs Predicted
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3Bowdoin College2.03+7.86vs Predicted
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4University of Miami2.32+6.38vs Predicted
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5Georgetown University2.40+2.17vs Predicted
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6North Carolina State University1.57+6.03vs Predicted
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7Tufts University2.22+0.95vs Predicted
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8Yale University2.73-2.43vs Predicted
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9University of Wisconsin1.09+4.08vs Predicted
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10U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.48-2.54vs Predicted
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11University of South Florida1.60+0.49vs Predicted
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12Fordham University1.98-2.12vs Predicted
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13University of California at Santa Barbara1.67-2.62vs Predicted
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14Dartmouth College2.38-6.54vs Predicted
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15Jacksonville University2.10-5.62vs Predicted
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16College of Charleston2.49-7.73vs Predicted
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17Old Dominion University1.59-5.95vs Predicted
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18Boston College2.20-8.58vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.52Stanford University3.1513.6%1st Place
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13.66University of Texas1.011.8%1st Place
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10.86Bowdoin College2.032.9%1st Place
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10.38University of Miami2.324.0%1st Place
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7.17Georgetown University2.407.8%1st Place
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12.03North Carolina State University1.572.2%1st Place
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7.95Tufts University2.226.8%1st Place
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5.57Yale University2.7313.2%1st Place
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13.08University of Wisconsin1.091.8%1st Place
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7.46U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.488.1%1st Place
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11.49University of South Florida1.602.2%1st Place
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9.88Fordham University1.985.1%1st Place
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10.38University of California at Santa Barbara1.674.0%1st Place
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7.46Dartmouth College2.387.0%1st Place
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9.38Jacksonville University2.105.0%1st Place
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8.27College of Charleston2.496.6%1st Place
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11.05Old Dominion University1.593.6%1st Place
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9.42Boston College2.204.4%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Thomas Sitzmann | 13.6% | 10.9% | 10.8% | 10.9% | 9.5% | 8.6% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| Matias Martin | 1.8% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 13.9% | 27.8% |
| Thibault Antonietti | 2.9% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 6.0% |
| Atlee Kohl | 4.0% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 4.5% |
| Mateo Di Blasi | 7.8% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 0.4% |
| Kevin Gosselin | 2.2% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 8.8% | 10.3% | 11.9% | 10.2% |
| Ben Mueller | 6.8% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 0.5% |
| Jack Egan | 13.2% | 12.2% | 11.7% | 10.8% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Abe Weston | 1.8% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 10.2% | 13.9% | 18.9% |
| Colman Schofield | 8.1% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 0.1% |
| Kay Brunsvold | 2.2% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 8.8% | 9.4% | 9.3% |
| Jacob Zils | 5.1% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 3.0% |
| Henry Boeger | 4.0% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 4.5% |
| William Michels | 7.0% | 8.4% | 9.4% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 3.7% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 1.3% | 0.5% |
| Owen Bannasch | 5.0% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 3.2% | 2.5% |
| Noah Zittrer | 6.6% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 2.0% | 1.2% |
| Diogo Silva | 3.6% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 7.4% |
| Michael Kirkman | 4.4% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 4.6% | 2.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.