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📊 Prediction Accuracy
37.5%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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2Brown University2.41+4.74vs Predicted
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3Yale University2.75+2.72vs Predicted
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4Bowdoin College2.03+4.27vs Predicted
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5Yale University3.12-0.34vs Predicted
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6Dartmouth College2.33+1.23vs Predicted
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7Boston College1.33+3.85vs Predicted
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8Dartmouth College2.07+0.26vs Predicted
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9Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.12-1.21vs Predicted
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10U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.45-3.33vs Predicted
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11Harvard University2.30-3.62vs Predicted
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12Tufts University1.30-1.05vs Predicted
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13Connecticut College1.11-1.49vs Predicted
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14University of Vermont1.89-5.22vs Predicted
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15Northeastern University1.52-4.91vs Predicted
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16Brown University1.83-6.84vs Predicted
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17Tufts University1.02-5.05vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.74Brown University2.410.1%1st Place
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5.72Yale University2.750.1%1st Place
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8.27Bowdoin College2.030.1%1st Place
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4.66Yale University3.120.2%1st Place
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7.23Dartmouth College2.330.1%1st Place
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10.85Boston College1.330.0%1st Place
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8.26Dartmouth College2.070.1%1st Place
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7.79Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.120.1%1st Place
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6.67U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.450.1%1st Place
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7.38Harvard University2.300.1%1st Place
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10.95Tufts University1.300.0%1st Place
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11.51Connecticut College1.110.0%1st Place
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8.78University of Vermont1.890.0%1st Place
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10.09Northeastern University1.520.0%1st Place
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9.16Brown University1.830.0%1st Place
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11.95Tufts University1.020.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Caroline Bayless | 7.8% | 9.5% | 9.5% | 8.3% | 8.7% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 0.3% |
| Carmen Cowles | 11.8% | 12.7% | 10.6% | 9.3% | 9.1% | 9.0% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 2.7% | 2.3% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.5% |
| Ellie Maus | 6.3% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 8.6% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 8.4% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 2.5% |
| Mia Nicolosi | 15.4% | 16.5% | 12.6% | 11.0% | 9.8% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Gray Hemans | 6.8% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 8.7% | 9.1% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 3.5% | 2.2% | 0.7% |
| Lourdes Gallo | 2.6% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 9.6% | 13.4% | 14.1% |
| Taylor Eastman | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 5.5% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 3.9% | 2.7% |
| Brooke Schmelz | 6.0% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 8.5% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 2.8% | 1.6% |
| Emily Bornarth | 8.9% | 8.8% | 9.0% | 8.7% | 7.6% | 9.6% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 3.7% | 2.7% | 2.0% | 1.0% |
| Sarah Burn | 7.8% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 3.4% | 2.7% | 1.2% |
| Haley Andreasen | 3.6% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 10.2% | 14.2% | 14.7% |
| Aili Moffet | 2.6% | 1.5% | 3.3% | 2.2% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 9.1% | 15.3% | 20.8% |
| Grace Gear | 3.7% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 4.8% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 8.7% | 6.5% | 8.4% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 3.7% |
| Lucia Loosbrock | 4.3% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 9.2% | 9.8% | 10.5% | 8.5% |
| Emily Mueller | 4.6% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 8.7% | 9.7% | 6.4% | 3.6% |
| Samantha Jensen | 1.6% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 3.7% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 3.2% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 5.3% | 7.8% | 9.0% | 12.2% | 12.4% | 24.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.