Race 6A

mrs-hurst-bowl

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

43.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Emily Bornarth 8.4% 10.0% 9.0% 8.1% 8.4% 8.7% 7.0% 7.7% 7.3% 6.2% 5.5% 4.5% 3.6% 2.9% 2.0% 0.7%
Carmen Cowles 11.0% 13.2% 10.7% 9.2% 9.0% 9.0% 8.2% 5.2% 7.5% 6.2% 3.6% 3.0% 2.2% 1.0% 0.6% 0.4%
Mia Nicolosi 17.7% 13.4% 13.8% 10.8% 10.8% 9.3% 6.3% 6.4% 4.4% 2.8% 1.5% 1.3% 0.7% 0.6% 0.1% 0.1%
Sarah Burn 6.2% 7.9% 8.7% 7.2% 6.5% 7.3% 6.4% 8.2% 7.7% 7.3% 6.7% 7.1% 4.6% 4.5% 2.5% 1.2%
Emily Mueller 4.9% 4.3% 4.8% 4.6% 5.9% 4.9% 6.9% 8.0% 6.6% 6.8% 7.6% 6.9% 8.2% 8.5% 7.1% 4.0%
Gray Hemans 7.5% 6.3% 8.8% 8.9% 7.6% 7.1% 6.8% 7.6% 7.6% 6.6% 6.4% 5.9% 4.8% 4.5% 2.5% 1.1%
Caroline Bayless 9.3% 8.4% 7.3% 7.9% 7.0% 7.5% 7.5% 7.6% 7.3% 6.0% 6.5% 7.1% 4.5% 2.9% 2.4% 0.8%
Lourdes Gallo 3.1% 2.7% 3.6% 3.1% 3.2% 4.8% 5.5% 5.2% 4.8% 6.5% 7.2% 5.8% 8.1% 11.3% 13.0% 12.1%
Taylor Eastman 6.2% 5.7% 6.4% 6.5% 6.8% 6.3% 7.3% 8.0% 7.2% 9.0% 6.3% 5.8% 5.9% 4.5% 4.8% 3.3%
Aili Moffet 2.5% 2.1% 3.2% 2.6% 2.5% 3.4% 2.6% 3.6% 3.4% 5.5% 6.3% 6.8% 8.1% 14.1% 14.2% 19.1%
Samantha Jensen 2.7% 2.1% 2.0% 2.8% 2.8% 3.4% 3.7% 2.9% 3.5% 4.0% 6.0% 7.9% 7.8% 9.9% 14.0% 24.5%
Lucia Loosbrock 3.9% 3.5% 2.5% 4.8% 4.3% 5.2% 5.0% 5.0% 6.1% 5.4% 7.2% 9.2% 8.9% 8.4% 9.9% 10.7%
Brooke Schmelz 5.1% 7.1% 6.3% 7.4% 7.8% 5.7% 7.8% 8.0% 6.3% 8.1% 8.0% 5.4% 5.6% 4.9% 4.4% 2.1%
Ellie Maus 5.4% 5.5% 6.1% 6.4% 7.0% 7.4% 8.6% 6.6% 7.5% 6.5% 7.4% 7.1% 7.0% 5.6% 3.6% 2.3%
Grace Gear 4.2% 5.3% 4.4% 5.7% 7.0% 5.1% 6.8% 5.5% 7.7% 7.2% 7.3% 8.1% 10.0% 6.5% 6.0% 3.2%
Haley Andreasen 1.9% 2.5% 2.4% 4.0% 3.4% 4.9% 3.6% 4.5% 5.1% 5.9% 6.5% 8.1% 10.0% 9.9% 12.9% 14.4%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.