← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
18.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.7
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Yale University3.12+3.51vs Predicted
-
3Brown University2.41+3.81vs Predicted
-
4Dartmouth College2.33+3.19vs Predicted
-
5Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.12+3.14vs Predicted
-
6Brown University1.83+3.03vs Predicted
-
7Tufts University1.30+3.98vs Predicted
-
8Yale University2.75-2.18vs Predicted
-
9Dartmouth College2.07-1.00vs Predicted
-
10Tufts University1.02+1.78vs Predicted
-
11Bowdoin College2.03-2.65vs Predicted
-
12Northeastern University1.52-1.81vs Predicted
-
13Boston College1.33-2.18vs Predicted
-
14U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.45-7.31vs Predicted
-
15Harvard University2.30-7.89vs Predicted
-
16University of Vermont1.89-7.09vs Predicted
-
17Connecticut College1.11-5.33vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
4.51Yale University3.120.2%1st Place
-
6.81Brown University2.410.1%1st Place
-
7.19Dartmouth College2.330.1%1st Place
-
8.14Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.120.0%1st Place
-
9.03Brown University1.830.0%1st Place
-
10.98Tufts University1.300.0%1st Place
-
5.82Yale University2.750.1%1st Place
-
8.0Dartmouth College2.070.1%1st Place
-
11.78Tufts University1.020.0%1st Place
-
8.35Bowdoin College2.030.1%1st Place
-
10.19Northeastern University1.520.0%1st Place
-
10.82Boston College1.330.0%1st Place
-
6.69U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.450.1%1st Place
-
7.11Harvard University2.300.1%1st Place
-
8.91University of Vermont1.890.0%1st Place
-
11.67Connecticut College1.110.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mia Nicolosi | 17.7% | 15.8% | 13.3% | 12.7% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 3.3% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Caroline Bayless | 8.2% | 9.7% | 8.9% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 1.8% | 1.4% |
| Gray Hemans | 7.6% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 9.4% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 8.3% | 6.0% | 9.6% | 8.1% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 1.4% |
| Brooke Schmelz | 4.7% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 8.1% | 6.1% | 8.2% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 4.0% | 2.1% |
| Emily Mueller | 4.4% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 9.5% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 3.4% |
| Haley Andreasen | 2.8% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 8.1% | 9.7% | 14.0% | 14.9% |
| Carmen Cowles | 13.0% | 9.8% | 9.6% | 9.9% | 11.1% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| Taylor Eastman | 6.2% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 8.9% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 2.4% |
| Samantha Jensen | 1.8% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 1.4% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 7.7% | 9.7% | 10.7% | 14.0% | 21.6% |
| Ellie Maus | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 9.5% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 2.7% |
| Lucia Loosbrock | 3.7% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 8.9% | 9.7% | 11.8% | 9.4% |
| Lourdes Gallo | 2.6% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 4.1% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 8.7% | 10.5% | 10.8% | 15.8% |
| Emily Bornarth | 7.0% | 10.4% | 9.4% | 8.4% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 8.7% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 2.2% | 0.2% |
| Sarah Burn | 7.8% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 8.8% | 9.2% | 7.7% | 8.6% | 6.8% | 8.3% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 3.6% | 1.8% | 0.9% |
| Grace Gear | 4.9% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 8.0% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 8.5% | 7.5% | 9.2% | 6.5% | 2.6% |
| Aili Moffet | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 6.1% | 7.9% | 10.2% | 10.7% | 12.9% | 21.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.