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📊 Prediction Accuracy
37.5%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.45+5.61vs Predicted
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2Harvard University2.30+5.23vs Predicted
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3Yale University3.12+1.57vs Predicted
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4Tufts University1.02+7.98vs Predicted
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5Yale University2.75+0.78vs Predicted
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7Brown University2.41+0.05vs Predicted
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8Brown University1.83+1.12vs Predicted
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9Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.12-1.15vs Predicted
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10Dartmouth College2.33-2.89vs Predicted
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11Dartmouth College2.07-2.78vs Predicted
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12Boston College1.33-1.22vs Predicted
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13Tufts University1.30-2.09vs Predicted
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14Northeastern University1.52-3.89vs Predicted
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15University of Vermont1.89-6.31vs Predicted
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16Connecticut College1.11-4.32vs Predicted
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17Bowdoin College2.03-8.69vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.61U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.450.1%1st Place
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7.23Harvard University2.300.1%1st Place
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4.57Yale University3.120.2%1st Place
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11.98Tufts University1.020.0%1st Place
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5.78Yale University2.750.1%1st Place
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7.05Brown University2.410.1%1st Place
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9.12Brown University1.830.1%1st Place
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7.85Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.120.1%1st Place
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7.11Dartmouth College2.330.1%1st Place
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8.22Dartmouth College2.070.1%1st Place
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10.78Boston College1.330.0%1st Place
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10.91Tufts University1.300.0%1st Place
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10.11Northeastern University1.520.0%1st Place
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8.69University of Vermont1.890.1%1st Place
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11.68Connecticut College1.110.0%1st Place
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8.31Bowdoin College2.030.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emily Bornarth | 8.6% | 9.2% | 10.1% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 8.7% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 0.6% |
| Sarah Burn | 7.6% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 8.5% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 4.6% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 1.0% |
| Mia Nicolosi | 18.0% | 12.5% | 13.3% | 12.0% | 10.4% | 9.4% | 7.5% | 5.3% | 4.3% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Samantha Jensen | 1.4% | 1.8% | 3.0% | 2.2% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 6.3% | 9.2% | 10.2% | 13.4% | 25.9% |
| Carmen Cowles | 10.6% | 11.9% | 10.6% | 10.2% | 10.0% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Caroline Bayless | 6.8% | 7.3% | 9.3% | 9.5% | 8.7% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 4.9% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 2.4% | 1.2% |
| Emily Mueller | 5.2% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 9.3% | 8.9% | 7.2% | 4.0% |
| Brooke Schmelz | 6.9% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 1.2% |
| Gray Hemans | 8.0% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 6.6% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 0.9% |
| Taylor Eastman | 6.0% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 9.0% | 7.2% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 3.7% | 2.0% |
| Lourdes Gallo | 3.1% | 3.8% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 4.4% | 2.9% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 8.0% | 8.7% | 10.9% | 12.3% | 13.6% |
| Haley Andreasen | 3.1% | 2.7% | 2.3% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 11.4% | 12.2% | 15.7% |
| Lucia Loosbrock | 2.3% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 9.2% | 9.4% | 10.8% | 8.0% |
| Grace Gear | 5.0% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 3.2% |
| Aili Moffet | 2.6% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 8.6% | 11.0% | 14.8% | 20.1% |
| Ellie Maus | 4.8% | 6.7% | 4.7% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 2.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.