Race 9A

mrs-hurst-bowl

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

37.5%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Carmen Cowles 11.2% 11.1% 9.3% 11.2% 10.5% 7.5% 7.6% 8.0% 6.1% 5.4% 4.2% 3.8% 1.9% 1.4% 0.7% 0.1%
Sarah Burn 7.0% 7.8% 7.5% 7.8% 7.2% 8.5% 7.0% 7.3% 6.9% 7.7% 6.0% 6.1% 5.9% 3.5% 2.3% 1.5%
Caroline Sibilly 12.5% 10.4% 9.9% 10.2% 11.6% 8.2% 8.1% 8.9% 6.0% 3.9% 3.6% 3.4% 1.2% 1.4% 0.5% 0.2%
Caroline Bayless 5.9% 9.0% 8.1% 8.2% 6.9% 6.8% 8.1% 7.4% 8.4% 7.2% 6.8% 6.0% 5.2% 3.8% 1.6% 0.6%
Brooke Schmelz 5.5% 5.1% 6.7% 6.5% 6.4% 7.0% 8.0% 7.3% 6.9% 7.9% 7.9% 6.9% 7.8% 5.6% 3.1% 1.4%
Gray Hemans 6.4% 5.8% 9.0% 7.5% 9.1% 7.2% 7.3% 7.7% 7.0% 6.5% 7.6% 5.4% 5.4% 4.3% 3.0% 0.8%
Taylor Eastman 5.7% 6.2% 5.9% 4.8% 5.4% 7.9% 5.6% 7.2% 8.1% 7.0% 7.4% 8.3% 7.6% 6.5% 4.2% 2.2%
Mia Nicolosi 16.7% 15.0% 12.5% 12.3% 9.5% 8.3% 7.3% 5.8% 3.8% 3.8% 2.1% 1.6% 0.6% 0.5% 0.2% 0.0%
Emily Bornarth 8.0% 9.5% 7.6% 7.8% 8.6% 7.7% 8.5% 7.8% 6.3% 7.7% 6.2% 4.5% 4.6% 2.7% 1.4% 1.1%
Lucia Loosbrock 3.7% 2.6% 3.7% 3.6% 3.1% 3.9% 4.8% 5.1% 6.2% 6.6% 7.8% 10.6% 8.9% 11.9% 10.4% 7.1%
Samantha Jensen 2.2% 2.6% 1.5% 2.6% 3.2% 3.3% 3.3% 3.2% 3.4% 5.2% 6.4% 6.1% 8.1% 11.9% 16.7% 20.3%
Aili Moffet 1.9% 2.7% 2.2% 2.8% 2.5% 3.7% 4.5% 3.1% 5.4% 4.7% 6.9% 7.3% 7.7% 10.5% 14.6% 19.5%
Audrey Commerford 1.6% 0.9% 1.4% 1.8% 2.6% 3.3% 2.0% 3.1% 3.6% 3.8% 6.0% 5.6% 8.2% 10.6% 17.0% 28.5%
Emily Mueller 4.6% 3.8% 5.3% 4.2% 5.9% 6.4% 5.9% 6.7% 8.4% 7.2% 7.7% 8.6% 8.5% 7.9% 5.2% 3.7%
Haley Andreasen 2.8% 2.0% 3.1% 2.7% 2.4% 4.0% 4.4% 4.5% 4.8% 6.7% 5.8% 9.3% 10.3% 11.4% 14.7% 11.1%
Ellie Maus 4.3% 5.5% 6.3% 6.0% 5.1% 6.3% 7.6% 6.9% 8.7% 8.7% 7.6% 6.5% 8.1% 6.1% 4.4% 1.9%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.