Race 11A

mrs-hurst-bowl

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

25.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Carmen Cowles 10.5% 10.5% 11.6% 9.6% 10.6% 8.1% 8.1% 8.8% 5.0% 5.4% 4.6% 2.8% 2.0% 1.4% 0.7% 0.3%
Emily Bornarth 7.9% 9.2% 8.1% 9.4% 7.1% 8.4% 7.7% 6.8% 6.9% 6.6% 6.4% 6.4% 4.2% 2.3% 1.8% 0.8%
Gray Hemans 6.8% 7.5% 7.3% 7.3% 8.3% 6.4% 8.0% 7.9% 8.1% 7.7% 8.0% 4.6% 5.0% 4.1% 2.4% 0.6%
Caroline Bayless 7.0% 8.1% 8.1% 7.9% 7.6% 6.8% 8.7% 9.0% 7.4% 5.8% 6.3% 5.4% 6.0% 3.6% 1.5% 0.8%
Caroline Sibilly 11.0% 10.6% 10.9% 10.6% 10.7% 8.5% 7.4% 7.1% 6.9% 5.2% 3.7% 4.1% 1.4% 1.6% 0.3% 0.0%
Samantha Jensen 1.7% 1.7% 1.4% 2.3% 2.7% 2.6% 3.9% 3.8% 5.3% 6.5% 6.8% 6.0% 7.2% 12.1% 15.1% 20.9%
Sarah Burn 7.1% 7.3% 7.4% 5.8% 6.7% 9.7% 6.9% 7.3% 7.1% 7.5% 6.6% 6.1% 6.8% 3.9% 2.8% 1.0%
Mia Nicolosi 17.4% 13.6% 14.8% 11.5% 7.6% 10.1% 6.5% 5.2% 5.6% 2.3% 2.7% 1.5% 0.5% 0.4% 0.3% 0.0%
Brooke Schmelz 5.5% 6.3% 6.9% 5.3% 7.2% 6.9% 7.5% 8.4% 7.6% 8.0% 7.8% 5.4% 5.9% 5.5% 3.6% 2.2%
Lucia Loosbrock 3.2% 3.7% 3.4% 3.9% 3.0% 4.0% 4.9% 5.2% 5.1% 7.3% 7.9% 9.5% 11.3% 11.3% 9.8% 6.5%
Taylor Eastman 6.7% 5.8% 4.4% 6.7% 6.4% 6.8% 6.8% 5.9% 6.4% 7.9% 7.6% 9.6% 7.1% 6.5% 3.6% 1.8%
Ellie Maus 5.4% 5.6% 5.1% 6.4% 7.9% 7.0% 6.7% 6.4% 6.8% 5.6% 7.9% 7.4% 7.7% 6.8% 4.7% 2.6%
Haley Andreasen 1.8% 2.1% 3.3% 3.7% 4.2% 4.0% 3.3% 5.2% 5.6% 6.2% 5.6% 8.2% 11.9% 9.6% 13.2% 12.1%
Aili Moffet 2.6% 1.9% 1.9% 2.8% 2.7% 2.4% 4.6% 4.4% 5.6% 5.4% 5.6% 8.7% 8.1% 11.8% 14.6% 16.9%
Audrey Commerford 1.6% 1.8% 0.9% 1.8% 2.1% 1.9% 2.8% 2.5% 3.2% 4.4% 4.7% 6.0% 6.8% 10.2% 19.0% 30.3%
Emily Mueller 3.8% 4.3% 4.5% 5.0% 5.2% 6.4% 6.2% 6.1% 7.4% 8.2% 7.8% 8.3% 8.1% 8.9% 6.6% 3.2%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.