Race 14A

mrs-hurst-bowl

← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

25.0%
Within 2 Positions
4.0
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Brooke Schmelz 5.5% 7.0% 7.8% 6.1% 6.6% 6.9% 7.5% 7.2% 7.0% 8.0% 7.1% 6.2% 6.6% 5.9% 3.3% 1.3%
Sarah Burn 7.1% 7.4% 8.4% 7.1% 7.6% 7.8% 6.6% 7.2% 6.8% 8.0% 6.8% 6.4% 5.6% 3.7% 2.6% 0.9%
Mia Nicolosi 17.3% 12.7% 11.6% 11.4% 10.1% 10.1% 7.9% 6.7% 4.5% 2.9% 2.0% 0.8% 1.1% 0.7% 0.1% 0.1%
Lucia Loosbrock 2.5% 3.2% 3.7% 5.0% 3.1% 3.8% 5.8% 5.3% 5.1% 5.8% 7.5% 9.7% 9.8% 8.9% 11.5% 9.3%
Caroline Bayless 7.3% 6.8% 7.8% 8.9% 8.5% 7.8% 7.7% 6.7% 8.7% 7.8% 6.1% 5.9% 4.0% 3.3% 2.0% 0.7%
Carmen Cowles 10.1% 10.1% 12.2% 9.4% 8.2% 9.1% 7.3% 7.5% 6.5% 5.2% 5.5% 3.3% 3.1% 1.5% 0.9% 0.1%
Samantha Jensen 2.1% 2.5% 2.0% 2.7% 2.8% 3.0% 3.0% 3.5% 3.6% 4.6% 6.1% 6.0% 8.5% 13.2% 16.7% 19.7%
Taylor Eastman 5.5% 6.1% 6.8% 6.4% 6.6% 6.2% 6.3% 7.2% 6.9% 7.5% 9.0% 7.7% 7.2% 5.6% 3.7% 1.3%
Caroline Sibilly 12.0% 12.9% 9.5% 9.8% 10.0% 8.0% 7.3% 6.6% 7.6% 5.0% 4.3% 2.0% 2.4% 1.0% 1.2% 0.4%
Emily Bornarth 7.8% 7.8% 7.5% 8.0% 8.0% 7.3% 9.0% 8.3% 8.7% 7.3% 5.7% 5.7% 4.7% 2.0% 1.7% 0.5%
Haley Andreasen 2.8% 2.9% 3.3% 3.2% 4.0% 2.5% 3.7% 5.1% 4.9% 5.2% 7.9% 8.4% 9.0% 11.7% 13.4% 12.0%
Emily Mueller 4.8% 4.2% 3.3% 4.9% 7.0% 6.8% 6.1% 5.6% 6.3% 7.4% 8.6% 7.9% 8.4% 8.5% 5.4% 4.8%
Gray Hemans 6.9% 7.1% 7.2% 7.7% 6.7% 8.8% 6.9% 9.4% 8.3% 8.7% 4.1% 6.3% 5.6% 3.0% 2.5% 0.8%
Aili Moffet 2.3% 2.2% 2.5% 2.6% 1.7% 3.4% 4.0% 4.8% 5.2% 6.0% 6.7% 7.2% 10.1% 11.0% 14.1% 16.2%
Ellie Maus 5.1% 5.1% 5.2% 5.1% 7.6% 6.1% 7.2% 6.8% 6.9% 7.2% 8.5% 9.2% 7.2% 6.1% 4.2% 2.5%
Audrey Commerford 0.9% 2.0% 1.2% 1.7% 1.5% 2.4% 3.7% 2.1% 3.0% 3.4% 4.1% 7.3% 6.7% 13.9% 16.7% 29.4%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.