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📊 Prediction Accuracy
29.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University2.92+4.18vs Predicted
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2Brown University1.73+7.73vs Predicted
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3Boston College2.04+5.59vs Predicted
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4U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.11+4.34vs Predicted
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5Brown University2.01+3.45vs Predicted
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6Yale University2.31+1.64vs Predicted
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7Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.94+1.95vs Predicted
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8Dartmouth College2.43-1.06vs Predicted
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9Harvard University2.47-1.92vs Predicted
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10Dartmouth College2.55-3.47vs Predicted
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11Bowdoin College2.13-2.58vs Predicted
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12Tufts University1.00+0.44vs Predicted
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13Tufts University1.71-3.01vs Predicted
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14University of Rhode Island1.84-4.47vs Predicted
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15Northeastern University2.03-6.40vs Predicted
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16Connecticut College0.77-2.69vs Predicted
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17University of Vermont0.76-3.73vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.18Yale University2.920.2%1st Place
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9.73Brown University1.730.0%1st Place
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8.59Boston College2.040.1%1st Place
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8.34U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.110.1%1st Place
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8.45Brown University2.010.1%1st Place
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7.64Yale University2.310.1%1st Place
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8.95Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.940.1%1st Place
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6.94Dartmouth College2.430.1%1st Place
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7.08Harvard University2.470.1%1st Place
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6.53Dartmouth College2.550.1%1st Place
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8.42Bowdoin College2.130.1%1st Place
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12.44Tufts University1.000.0%1st Place
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9.99Tufts University1.710.0%1st Place
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9.53University of Rhode Island1.840.0%1st Place
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8.6Northeastern University2.030.1%1st Place
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13.31Connecticut College0.770.0%1st Place
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13.27University of Vermont0.760.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emma Cowles | 15.9% | 12.8% | 11.0% | 10.1% | 8.4% | 9.8% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Charlotte Costikyan | 4.6% | 3.6% | 5.8% | 3.9% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 3.7% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 8.3% | 8.4% | 7.9% | 8.8% | 6.2% | 3.9% |
| Libby Redmond | 5.3% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 8.3% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 3.4% | 2.4% |
| Emma Snead | 6.5% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 1.9% |
| Katherine McNamara | 5.4% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 4.1% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 3.7% | 2.4% |
| Megan Grimes | 6.8% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 8.4% | 6.4% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 0.6% |
| Lucy Brock | 5.1% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 1.1% |
| bella casaretto | 9.7% | 8.8% | 9.7% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 5.4% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 2.6% | 1.3% | 0.4% |
| Cordelia Burn | 6.9% | 7.1% | 9.5% | 8.1% | 9.2% | 8.1% | 9.5% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 0.4% |
| Sarah Young | 8.9% | 9.8% | 8.9% | 10.0% | 8.5% | 9.0% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.5% |
| Lauren Russler | 6.7% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 3.3% | 1.3% |
| Meredith Broadus | 1.9% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 8.1% | 12.9% | 15.4% | 19.6% |
| Annika Fedde | 3.7% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 9.1% | 8.5% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 5.4% |
| Kytalin Hendrickson | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 7.9% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 9.0% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 2.4% |
| Eva Ermlich | 5.9% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 5.6% | 7.4% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 1.7% |
| Hailey Pemberton | 1.5% | 0.9% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 11.2% | 17.1% | 27.3% |
| Audrey Commerford | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 2.8% | 1.3% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 10.2% | 17.0% | 28.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.