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📊 Prediction Accuracy
23.5%
Within 2 Positions
3.7
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.11+7.09vs Predicted
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2Boston College2.04+6.56vs Predicted
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3Bowdoin College2.13+5.17vs Predicted
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4Dartmouth College2.55+2.65vs Predicted
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5Brown University1.73+4.62vs Predicted
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6University of Rhode Island1.84+3.60vs Predicted
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7Dartmouth College2.43+0.01vs Predicted
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8Tufts University1.71+1.68vs Predicted
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9Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.94+0.16vs Predicted
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10Yale University2.92-4.77vs Predicted
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11Yale University2.31-3.30vs Predicted
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12Brown University2.01-3.33vs Predicted
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13Harvard University2.47-5.96vs Predicted
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14Northeastern University2.03-5.24vs Predicted
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15Connecticut College0.77-1.83vs Predicted
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16University of Vermont0.76-2.63vs Predicted
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17Tufts University1.00-4.48vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.09U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.110.1%1st Place
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8.56Boston College2.040.1%1st Place
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8.17Bowdoin College2.130.1%1st Place
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6.65Dartmouth College2.550.1%1st Place
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9.62Brown University1.730.0%1st Place
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9.6University of Rhode Island1.840.0%1st Place
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7.01Dartmouth College2.430.1%1st Place
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9.68Tufts University1.710.1%1st Place
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9.16Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.940.0%1st Place
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5.23Yale University2.920.1%1st Place
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7.7Yale University2.310.1%1st Place
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8.67Brown University2.010.1%1st Place
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7.04Harvard University2.470.1%1st Place
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8.76Northeastern University2.030.1%1st Place
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13.17Connecticut College0.770.0%1st Place
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13.37University of Vermont0.760.0%1st Place
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12.52Tufts University1.000.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emma Snead | 7.1% | 6.0% | 8.3% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 3.1% | 0.5% |
| Libby Redmond | 5.9% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 5.4% | 7.3% | 5.3% | 3.3% | 1.5% |
| Lauren Russler | 6.5% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 4.4% | 1.7% | 2.1% |
| Sarah Young | 9.7% | 9.5% | 9.1% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 5.6% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 0.3% |
| Charlotte Costikyan | 4.2% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 4.0% |
| Kytalin Hendrickson | 4.5% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 3.8% |
| bella casaretto | 8.7% | 7.0% | 8.8% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 9.7% | 9.3% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 0.2% |
| Annika Fedde | 5.2% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 4.8% |
| Lucy Brock | 3.5% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 2.4% |
| Emma Cowles | 13.2% | 13.9% | 11.7% | 12.2% | 8.7% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 4.3% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.3% |
| Megan Grimes | 8.0% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 3.4% | 1.6% | 1.0% |
| Katherine McNamara | 5.1% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 7.9% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 1.5% |
| Cordelia Burn | 9.1% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 9.2% | 8.4% | 8.4% | 7.8% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 0.4% |
| Eva Ermlich | 5.0% | 6.3% | 4.6% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 4.4% | 1.6% |
| Hailey Pemberton | 1.5% | 2.6% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 5.1% | 3.6% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 9.9% | 17.6% | 28.1% |
| Audrey Commerford | 1.7% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 6.2% | 8.2% | 10.5% | 17.1% | 27.6% |
| Meredith Broadus | 1.1% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 13.3% | 15.2% | 19.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.