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📊 Prediction Accuracy
41.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University2.92+4.17vs Predicted
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2Boston College2.04+6.47vs Predicted
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3Dartmouth College2.43+4.04vs Predicted
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4Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.94+5.03vs Predicted
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5Brown University2.01+3.50vs Predicted
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6Bowdoin College2.13+2.43vs Predicted
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7Yale University2.31+0.51vs Predicted
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8Dartmouth College2.55-1.45vs Predicted
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9U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.11-0.53vs Predicted
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10Northeastern University2.03-1.54vs Predicted
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11Tufts University1.71-0.94vs Predicted
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12Tufts University1.00+0.45vs Predicted
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13University of Rhode Island1.84-3.55vs Predicted
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14Harvard University2.47-7.01vs Predicted
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15Connecticut College0.77-1.84vs Predicted
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16University of Vermont0.76-2.66vs Predicted
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17Brown University1.73-7.09vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.17Yale University2.920.2%1st Place
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8.47Boston College2.040.1%1st Place
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7.04Dartmouth College2.430.1%1st Place
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9.03Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.940.1%1st Place
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8.5Brown University2.010.1%1st Place
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8.43Bowdoin College2.130.1%1st Place
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7.51Yale University2.310.1%1st Place
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6.55Dartmouth College2.550.1%1st Place
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8.47U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.110.0%1st Place
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8.46Northeastern University2.030.1%1st Place
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10.06Tufts University1.710.0%1st Place
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12.45Tufts University1.000.0%1st Place
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9.45University of Rhode Island1.840.0%1st Place
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6.99Harvard University2.470.1%1st Place
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13.16Connecticut College0.770.0%1st Place
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13.34University of Vermont0.760.0%1st Place
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9.91Brown University1.730.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emma Cowles | 16.7% | 12.9% | 9.0% | 10.3% | 10.1% | 9.2% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 3.2% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Libby Redmond | 6.1% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 3.0% | 1.4% |
| bella casaretto | 8.2% | 9.4% | 7.7% | 10.0% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 0.6% |
| Lucy Brock | 5.1% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 9.2% | 7.6% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 3.0% |
| Katherine McNamara | 5.2% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 4.3% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 2.0% |
| Lauren Russler | 5.9% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 8.2% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 4.8% | 3.0% | 1.8% |
| Megan Grimes | 7.2% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 3.8% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 2.1% | 0.3% |
| Sarah Young | 10.3% | 10.2% | 9.6% | 9.2% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 0.7% | 0.3% |
| Emma Snead | 4.9% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 8.4% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 3.4% | 2.0% |
| Eva Ermlich | 5.0% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 3.0% | 2.3% |
| Annika Fedde | 4.1% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 9.2% | 9.0% | 8.2% | 5.1% |
| Meredith Broadus | 2.3% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 7.8% | 11.8% | 16.9% | 18.5% |
| Kytalin Hendrickson | 4.8% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 3.6% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 8.5% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 8.6% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 3.5% |
| Cordelia Burn | 8.5% | 7.7% | 10.1% | 7.7% | 8.7% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 8.3% | 6.6% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 3.2% | 2.7% | 0.8% | 0.3% |
| Hailey Pemberton | 1.3% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 3.3% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 8.0% | 10.6% | 16.8% | 26.6% |
| Audrey Commerford | 1.7% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 1.9% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 5.6% | 8.1% | 12.0% | 16.7% | 27.1% |
| Charlotte Costikyan | 2.7% | 3.7% | 6.4% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 9.0% | 8.5% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 5.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.