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📊 Prediction Accuracy
29.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.6
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston College2.04+7.38vs Predicted
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2Brown University1.73+7.66vs Predicted
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3Yale University2.92+2.30vs Predicted
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4U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.11+4.35vs Predicted
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5Harvard University2.47+1.74vs Predicted
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6Brown University2.01+2.84vs Predicted
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7Yale University2.31+0.48vs Predicted
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8Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.94+0.79vs Predicted
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9Bowdoin College2.13-0.62vs Predicted
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10Tufts University1.00+2.48vs Predicted
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11Dartmouth College2.43-3.81vs Predicted
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12Dartmouth College2.55-5.35vs Predicted
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13Connecticut College0.77+0.33vs Predicted
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14Northeastern University2.03-5.29vs Predicted
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15Tufts University1.71-5.12vs Predicted
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16University of Vermont0.76-2.63vs Predicted
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17University of Rhode Island1.84-7.54vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.38Boston College2.040.1%1st Place
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9.66Brown University1.730.0%1st Place
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5.3Yale University2.920.1%1st Place
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8.35U. S. Coast Guard Academy2.110.1%1st Place
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6.74Harvard University2.470.1%1st Place
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8.84Brown University2.010.0%1st Place
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7.48Yale University2.310.1%1st Place
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8.79Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.940.1%1st Place
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8.38Bowdoin College2.130.1%1st Place
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12.48Tufts University1.000.0%1st Place
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7.19Dartmouth College2.430.1%1st Place
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6.65Dartmouth College2.550.1%1st Place
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13.33Connecticut College0.770.0%1st Place
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8.71Northeastern University2.030.0%1st Place
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9.88Tufts University1.710.0%1st Place
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13.37University of Vermont0.760.0%1st Place
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9.46University of Rhode Island1.840.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Libby Redmond | 7.6% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 3.5% | 1.3% |
| Charlotte Costikyan | 4.7% | 3.4% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 8.8% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 6.5% | 3.4% |
| Emma Cowles | 13.9% | 13.2% | 10.2% | 11.3% | 9.0% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 3.3% | 2.7% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.2% |
| Emma Snead | 6.0% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 3.6% | 1.8% |
| Cordelia Burn | 9.3% | 8.5% | 8.9% | 9.4% | 9.3% | 8.4% | 5.8% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 1.5% | 0.4% |
| Katherine McNamara | 4.9% | 5.6% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 1.7% |
| Megan Grimes | 7.3% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 8.7% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 1.5% | 0.6% |
| Lucy Brock | 6.1% | 4.7% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 6.1% | 4.1% | 2.8% |
| Lauren Russler | 5.2% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 8.5% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 2.5% | 1.4% |
| Meredith Broadus | 1.5% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 8.7% | 10.7% | 15.9% | 17.7% |
| bella casaretto | 8.8% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 8.9% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 2.7% | 1.5% | 0.5% |
| Sarah Young | 8.8% | 10.4% | 10.2% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 7.7% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 2.8% | 2.0% | 1.3% | 0.6% |
| Hailey Pemberton | 1.5% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 10.2% | 17.6% | 29.4% |
| Eva Ermlich | 4.7% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 8.3% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 1.9% |
| Annika Fedde | 4.1% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 4.4% | 8.2% | 6.6% | 9.2% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 5.0% |
| Audrey Commerford | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 8.2% | 11.5% | 17.6% | 27.1% |
| Kytalin Hendrickson | 3.8% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 4.1% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 4.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.